Load scripts: loads libraries and useful scripts used in the analyses; all .R files contained in scripts at the root of the factory are automatically loaded
Load data: imports datasets, and may contain some ad hoc changes to the data such as specific data cleaning (not used in other reports), new variables used in the analyses, etc.
library(reportfactory)
library(here)
library(rio)
library(tidyverse)
library(incidence)
library(distcrete)
library(epitrix)
library(earlyR)
library(projections)
library(linelist)
library(remotes)
library(janitor)
library(kableExtra)
library(DT)
library(cyphr)
library(chngpt)
library(lubridate)
library(ggpubr)
library(ggnewscale)These scripts will load:
.R files inside /scripts/.R files inside /src/These scripts also contain routines to access the latest clean encrypted data (see next section).
We import the latest NHS pathways data:
x <- import_pathways() %>%
as_tibble()
x
## [90m# A tibble: 411,954 x 11[39m
## site_type date sex age ccg_code ccg_name count postcode nhs_region
## [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m [3m[90m<date>[39m[23m [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m [3m[90m<int>[39m[23m [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m [3m[90m<chr>[39m[23m
## [90m 1[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… miss… e380000… nhs_glo… 1 gl34fe South West
## [90m 2[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… miss… e380001… nhs_sou… 1 ne325nn North Eas…
## [90m 3[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_air… 8 bd57jr North Eas…
## [90m 4[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_ash… 7 tn254ab South East
## [90m 5[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_bar… 35 rm13ae London
## [90m 6[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_bar… 9 n111np London
## [90m 7[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_bar… 11 s752py North Eas…
## [90m 8[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_bas… 19 ss143hg East of E…
## [90m 9[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_bas… 6 dn227xf North Eas…
## [90m10[39m 111 2020-03-18 fema… 0-18 e380000… nhs_bat… 9 ba25rp South West
## [90m# … with 411,944 more rows, and 2 more variables: day [3m[90m<int>[90m[23m, weekday [3m[90m<fct>[90m[23m[39mWe also import demographics data for NHS regions in England, used later in our analysis:
path <- here::here("data", "csv", "nhs_region_population_2018.csv")
nhs_region_pop <- rio::import(path) %>%
mutate(nhs_region = str_to_title(gsub("_"," ",nhs_region)))
nhs_region_pop$nhs_region <- gsub(" Of ", " of ", nhs_region_pop$nhs_region)
nhs_region_pop$nhs_region <- gsub(" And ", " and ", nhs_region_pop$nhs_region)
nhs_region_pop
## nhs_region variable value
## 1 North West 0-18 0.22538599
## 2 North East and Yorkshire 0-18 0.21876449
## 3 Midlands 0-18 0.22564656
## 4 East of England 0-18 0.22810783
## 5 London 0-18 0.23764782
## 6 South East 0-18 0.22458811
## 7 South West 0-18 0.20799797
## 8 North West 19-69 0.64274078
## 9 North East and Yorkshire 19-69 0.64437753
## 10 Midlands 19-69 0.63876675
## 11 East of England 19-69 0.63034229
## 12 London 19-69 0.67820084
## 13 South East 19-69 0.63267336
## 14 South West 19-69 0.63176131
## 15 North West 70-120 0.13187323
## 16 North East and Yorkshire 70-120 0.13685797
## 17 Midlands 70-120 0.13558669
## 18 East of England 70-120 0.14154988
## 19 London 70-120 0.08415135
## 20 South East 70-120 0.14273853
## 21 South West 70-120 0.16024072Finally, we import publically available deaths per NHS region:
dth <- import_deaths() %>%
mutate(nhs_region = str_to_title(gsub("_"," ",nhs_region)))
#truncation to account for reporting delay
delay_max <- 21
dth$nhs_region <- gsub(" Of ", " of ", dth$nhs_region)
dth$nhs_region <- gsub(" And ", " and ", dth$nhs_region)
dth
## date_report nhs_region deaths
## 1 2020-03-01 East of England 0
## 2 2020-03-02 East of England 1
## 3 2020-03-03 East of England 0
## 4 2020-03-04 East of England 0
## 5 2020-03-05 East of England 0
## 6 2020-03-06 East of England 1
## 7 2020-03-07 East of England 0
## 8 2020-03-08 East of England 0
## 9 2020-03-09 East of England 1
## 10 2020-03-10 East of England 0
## 11 2020-03-11 East of England 0
## 12 2020-03-12 East of England 0
## 13 2020-03-13 East of England 1
## 14 2020-03-14 East of England 2
## 15 2020-03-15 East of England 2
## 16 2020-03-16 East of England 1
## 17 2020-03-17 East of England 1
## 18 2020-03-18 East of England 5
## 19 2020-03-19 East of England 4
## 20 2020-03-20 East of England 2
## 21 2020-03-21 East of England 11
## 22 2020-03-22 East of England 12
## 23 2020-03-23 East of England 11
## 24 2020-03-24 East of England 19
## 25 2020-03-25 East of England 26
## 26 2020-03-26 East of England 36
## 27 2020-03-27 East of England 38
## 28 2020-03-28 East of England 28
## 29 2020-03-29 East of England 43
## 30 2020-03-30 East of England 45
## 31 2020-03-31 East of England 70
## 32 2020-04-01 East of England 62
## 33 2020-04-02 East of England 65
## 34 2020-04-03 East of England 80
## 35 2020-04-04 East of England 71
## 36 2020-04-05 East of England 76
## 37 2020-04-06 East of England 71
## 38 2020-04-07 East of England 93
## 39 2020-04-08 East of England 111
## 40 2020-04-09 East of England 87
## 41 2020-04-10 East of England 74
## 42 2020-04-11 East of England 92
## 43 2020-04-12 East of England 100
## 44 2020-04-13 East of England 78
## 45 2020-04-14 East of England 61
## 46 2020-04-15 East of England 82
## 47 2020-04-16 East of England 74
## 48 2020-04-17 East of England 86
## 49 2020-04-18 East of England 64
## 50 2020-04-19 East of England 67
## 51 2020-04-20 East of England 67
## 52 2020-04-21 East of England 75
## 53 2020-04-22 East of England 67
## 54 2020-04-23 East of England 49
## 55 2020-04-24 East of England 66
## 56 2020-04-25 East of England 54
## 57 2020-04-26 East of England 48
## 58 2020-04-27 East of England 46
## 59 2020-04-28 East of England 58
## 60 2020-04-29 East of England 32
## 61 2020-04-30 East of England 45
## 62 2020-05-01 East of England 49
## 63 2020-05-02 East of England 29
## 64 2020-05-03 East of England 41
## 65 2020-05-04 East of England 19
## 66 2020-05-05 East of England 36
## 67 2020-05-06 East of England 31
## 68 2020-05-07 East of England 33
## 69 2020-05-08 East of England 33
## 70 2020-05-09 East of England 29
## 71 2020-05-10 East of England 22
## 72 2020-05-11 East of England 18
## 73 2020-05-12 East of England 21
## 74 2020-05-13 East of England 27
## 75 2020-05-14 East of England 26
## 76 2020-05-15 East of England 19
## 77 2020-05-16 East of England 26
## 78 2020-05-17 East of England 17
## 79 2020-05-18 East of England 25
## 80 2020-05-19 East of England 15
## 81 2020-05-20 East of England 26
## 82 2020-05-21 East of England 21
## 83 2020-05-22 East of England 13
## 84 2020-05-23 East of England 12
## 85 2020-05-24 East of England 17
## 86 2020-05-25 East of England 25
## 87 2020-05-26 East of England 14
## 88 2020-05-27 East of England 12
## 89 2020-05-28 East of England 17
## 90 2020-05-29 East of England 16
## 91 2020-05-30 East of England 9
## 92 2020-05-31 East of England 8
## 93 2020-06-01 East of England 17
## 94 2020-06-02 East of England 14
## 95 2020-06-03 East of England 10
## 96 2020-06-04 East of England 7
## 97 2020-06-05 East of England 14
## 98 2020-06-06 East of England 5
## 99 2020-06-07 East of England 9
## 100 2020-06-08 East of England 7
## 101 2020-06-09 East of England 6
## 102 2020-06-10 East of England 8
## 103 2020-06-11 East of England 1
## 104 2020-06-12 East of England 9
## 105 2020-06-13 East of England 5
## 106 2020-06-14 East of England 4
## 107 2020-06-15 East of England 8
## 108 2020-06-16 East of England 3
## 109 2020-06-17 East of England 7
## 110 2020-06-18 East of England 4
## 111 2020-06-19 East of England 7
## 112 2020-06-20 East of England 4
## 113 2020-06-21 East of England 3
## 114 2020-06-22 East of England 6
## 115 2020-06-23 East of England 5
## 116 2020-06-24 East of England 4
## 117 2020-06-25 East of England 1
## 118 2020-06-26 East of England 5
## 119 2020-06-27 East of England 6
## 120 2020-06-28 East of England 8
## 121 2020-06-29 East of England 4
## 122 2020-06-30 East of England 5
## 123 2020-07-01 East of England 2
## 124 2020-07-02 East of England 5
## 125 2020-07-03 East of England 0
## 126 2020-07-04 East of England 3
## 127 2020-07-05 East of England 1
## 128 2020-07-06 East of England 2
## 129 2020-07-07 East of England 2
## 130 2020-07-08 East of England 0
## 131 2020-07-09 East of England 8
## 132 2020-07-10 East of England 4
## 133 2020-07-11 East of England 2
## 134 2020-07-12 East of England 1
## 135 2020-07-13 East of England 8
## 136 2020-07-14 East of England 2
## 137 2020-07-15 East of England 0
## 138 2020-07-16 East of England 0
## 139 2020-07-17 East of England 0
## 140 2020-07-18 East of England 0
## 141 2020-07-19 East of England 1
## 142 2020-07-20 East of England 1
## 143 2020-07-21 East of England 1
## 144 2020-07-22 East of England 2
## 145 2020-07-23 East of England 1
## 146 2020-07-24 East of England 1
## 147 2020-07-25 East of England 0
## 148 2020-07-26 East of England 1
## 149 2020-07-27 East of England 1
## 150 2020-07-28 East of England 2
## 151 2020-07-29 East of England 0
## 152 2020-07-30 East of England 0
## 153 2020-07-31 East of England 1
## 154 2020-08-01 East of England 0
## 155 2020-08-02 East of England 0
## 156 2020-08-03 East of England 0
## 157 2020-08-04 East of England 1
## 158 2020-08-05 East of England 1
## 159 2020-08-06 East of England 0
## 160 2020-08-07 East of England 1
## 161 2020-08-08 East of England 0
## 162 2020-08-09 East of England 0
## 163 2020-08-10 East of England 1
## 164 2020-08-11 East of England 2
## 165 2020-08-12 East of England 1
## 166 2020-08-13 East of England 0
## 167 2020-08-14 East of England 1
## 168 2020-08-15 East of England 1
## 169 2020-08-16 East of England 0
## 170 2020-08-17 East of England 0
## 171 2020-08-18 East of England 2
## 172 2020-08-19 East of England 1
## 173 2020-08-20 East of England 1
## 174 2020-08-21 East of England 0
## 175 2020-08-22 East of England 1
## 176 2020-08-23 East of England 1
## 177 2020-08-24 East of England 0
## 178 2020-08-25 East of England 0
## 179 2020-08-26 East of England 1
## 180 2020-08-27 East of England 1
## 181 2020-08-28 East of England 0
## 182 2020-08-29 East of England 0
## 183 2020-08-30 East of England 0
## 184 2020-08-31 East of England 0
## 185 2020-09-01 East of England 0
## 186 2020-09-02 East of England 0
## 187 2020-09-03 East of England 1
## 188 2020-09-04 East of England 1
## 189 2020-09-05 East of England 0
## 190 2020-09-06 East of England 1
## 191 2020-09-07 East of England 0
## 192 2020-09-08 East of England 0
## 193 2020-09-09 East of England 0
## 194 2020-09-10 East of England 0
## 195 2020-09-11 East of England 0
## 196 2020-09-12 East of England 0
## 197 2020-09-13 East of England 1
## 198 2020-09-14 East of England 1
## 199 2020-09-15 East of England 0
## 200 2020-09-16 East of England 0
## 201 2020-09-17 East of England 0
## 202 2020-09-18 East of England 0
## 203 2020-09-19 East of England 0
## 204 2020-09-20 East of England 2
## 205 2020-09-21 East of England 0
## 206 2020-09-22 East of England 2
## 207 2020-09-23 East of England 1
## 208 2020-09-24 East of England 0
## 209 2020-09-25 East of England 1
## 210 2020-09-26 East of England 1
## 211 2020-09-27 East of England 1
## 212 2020-09-28 East of England 2
## 213 2020-09-29 East of England 2
## 214 2020-09-30 East of England 2
## 215 2020-10-01 East of England 2
## 216 2020-10-02 East of England 1
## 217 2020-10-03 East of England 1
## 218 2020-10-04 East of England 0
## 219 2020-10-05 East of England 0
## 220 2020-10-06 East of England 4
## 221 2020-10-07 East of England 6
## 222 2020-10-08 East of England 3
## 223 2020-10-09 East of England 1
## 224 2020-10-10 East of England 6
## 225 2020-10-11 East of England 2
## 226 2020-10-12 East of England 2
## 227 2020-10-13 East of England 1
## 228 2020-10-14 East of England 3
## 229 2020-10-15 East of England 4
## 230 2020-10-16 East of England 5
## 231 2020-10-17 East of England 6
## 232 2020-10-18 East of England 7
## 233 2020-10-19 East of England 5
## 234 2020-10-20 East of England 9
## 235 2020-10-21 East of England 7
## 236 2020-10-22 East of England 7
## 237 2020-10-23 East of England 14
## 238 2020-10-24 East of England 1
## 239 2020-10-25 East of England 10
## 240 2020-10-26 East of England 10
## 241 2020-10-27 East of England 8
## 242 2020-10-28 East of England 12
## 243 2020-10-29 East of England 10
## 244 2020-10-30 East of England 12
## 245 2020-10-31 East of England 15
## 246 2020-11-01 East of England 14
## 247 2020-11-02 East of England 9
## 248 2020-11-03 East of England 14
## 249 2020-11-04 East of England 11
## 250 2020-11-05 East of England 12
## 251 2020-11-06 East of England 18
## 252 2020-11-07 East of England 10
## 253 2020-11-08 East of England 13
## 254 2020-11-09 East of England 16
## 255 2020-11-10 East of England 26
## 256 2020-11-11 East of England 14
## 257 2020-11-12 East of England 14
## 258 2020-11-13 East of England 21
## 259 2020-11-14 East of England 19
## 260 2020-11-15 East of England 13
## 261 2020-11-16 East of England 11
## 262 2020-11-17 East of England 17
## 263 2020-11-18 East of England 19
## 264 2020-11-19 East of England 23
## 265 2020-11-20 East of England 24
## 266 2020-11-21 East of England 19
## 267 2020-11-22 East of England 21
## 268 2020-11-23 East of England 18
## 269 2020-11-24 East of England 21
## 270 2020-11-25 East of England 19
## 271 2020-11-26 East of England 19
## 272 2020-11-27 East of England 14
## 273 2020-11-28 East of England 28
## 274 2020-11-29 East of England 19
## 275 2020-11-30 East of England 22
## 276 2020-12-01 East of England 25
## 277 2020-12-02 East of England 18
## 278 2020-12-03 East of England 23
## 279 2020-12-04 East of England 24
## 280 2020-12-05 East of England 25
## 281 2020-12-06 East of England 21
## 282 2020-12-07 East of England 16
## 283 2020-12-08 East of England 26
## 284 2020-12-09 East of England 19
## 285 2020-12-10 East of England 32
## 286 2020-12-11 East of England 32
## 287 2020-12-12 East of England 27
## 288 2020-12-13 East of England 25
## 289 2020-12-14 East of England 31
## 290 2020-12-15 East of England 35
## 291 2020-12-16 East of England 29
## 292 2020-12-17 East of England 42
## 293 2020-12-18 East of England 44
## 294 2020-12-19 East of England 54
## 295 2020-12-20 East of England 50
## 296 2020-12-21 East of England 64
## 297 2020-12-22 East of England 52
## 298 2020-12-23 East of England 60
## 299 2020-12-24 East of England 54
## 300 2020-12-25 East of England 56
## 301 2020-12-26 East of England 61
## 302 2020-12-27 East of England 53
## 303 2020-12-28 East of England 70
## 304 2020-12-29 East of England 50
## 305 2020-12-30 East of England 69
## 306 2020-12-31 East of England 79
## 307 2021-01-01 East of England 87
## 308 2021-01-02 East of England 65
## 309 2021-01-03 East of England 75
## 310 2021-01-04 East of England 84
## 311 2021-01-05 East of England 99
## 312 2021-01-06 East of England 90
## 313 2021-01-07 East of England 107
## 314 2021-01-08 East of England 82
## 315 2021-01-09 East of England 114
## 316 2021-01-10 East of England 114
## 317 2021-01-11 East of England 119
## 318 2021-01-12 East of England 117
## 319 2021-01-13 East of England 110
## 320 2021-01-14 East of England 100
## 321 2021-01-15 East of England 93
## 322 2021-01-16 East of England 110
## 323 2021-01-17 East of England 96
## 324 2021-01-18 East of England 103
## 325 2021-01-19 East of England 96
## 326 2021-01-20 East of England 82
## 327 2021-01-21 East of England 15
## 328 2020-03-01 London 0
## 329 2020-03-02 London 0
## 330 2020-03-03 London 0
## 331 2020-03-04 London 0
## 332 2020-03-05 London 0
## 333 2020-03-06 London 1
## 334 2020-03-07 London 0
## 335 2020-03-08 London 0
## 336 2020-03-09 London 1
## 337 2020-03-10 London 0
## 338 2020-03-11 London 5
## 339 2020-03-12 London 6
## 340 2020-03-13 London 10
## 341 2020-03-14 London 13
## 342 2020-03-15 London 9
## 343 2020-03-16 London 15
## 344 2020-03-17 London 23
## 345 2020-03-18 London 28
## 346 2020-03-19 London 25
## 347 2020-03-20 London 44
## 348 2020-03-21 London 49
## 349 2020-03-22 London 54
## 350 2020-03-23 London 63
## 351 2020-03-24 London 86
## 352 2020-03-25 London 112
## 353 2020-03-26 London 130
## 354 2020-03-27 London 130
## 355 2020-03-28 London 123
## 356 2020-03-29 London 145
## 357 2020-03-30 London 151
## 358 2020-03-31 London 183
## 359 2020-04-01 London 202
## 360 2020-04-02 London 191
## 361 2020-04-03 London 199
## 362 2020-04-04 London 231
## 363 2020-04-05 London 195
## 364 2020-04-06 London 198
## 365 2020-04-07 London 220
## 366 2020-04-08 London 239
## 367 2020-04-09 London 207
## 368 2020-04-10 London 171
## 369 2020-04-11 London 178
## 370 2020-04-12 London 159
## 371 2020-04-13 London 166
## 372 2020-04-14 London 143
## 373 2020-04-15 London 143
## 374 2020-04-16 London 140
## 375 2020-04-17 London 101
## 376 2020-04-18 London 101
## 377 2020-04-19 London 103
## 378 2020-04-20 London 96
## 379 2020-04-21 London 96
## 380 2020-04-22 London 109
## 381 2020-04-23 London 77
## 382 2020-04-24 London 71
## 383 2020-04-25 London 58
## 384 2020-04-26 London 53
## 385 2020-04-27 London 52
## 386 2020-04-28 London 44
## 387 2020-04-29 London 45
## 388 2020-04-30 London 40
## 389 2020-05-01 London 41
## 390 2020-05-02 London 41
## 391 2020-05-03 London 36
## 392 2020-05-04 London 30
## 393 2020-05-05 London 25
## 394 2020-05-06 London 37
## 395 2020-05-07 London 37
## 396 2020-05-08 London 31
## 397 2020-05-09 London 23
## 398 2020-05-10 London 26
## 399 2020-05-11 London 18
## 400 2020-05-12 London 18
## 401 2020-05-13 London 17
## 402 2020-05-14 London 20
## 403 2020-05-15 London 19
## 404 2020-05-16 London 14
## 405 2020-05-17 London 15
## 406 2020-05-18 London 11
## 407 2020-05-19 London 14
## 408 2020-05-20 London 19
## 409 2020-05-21 London 12
## 410 2020-05-22 London 10
## 411 2020-05-23 London 6
## 412 2020-05-24 London 7
## 413 2020-05-25 London 9
## 414 2020-05-26 London 14
## 415 2020-05-27 London 7
## 416 2020-05-28 London 8
## 417 2020-05-29 London 7
## 418 2020-05-30 London 12
## 419 2020-05-31 London 6
## 420 2020-06-01 London 10
## 421 2020-06-02 London 8
## 422 2020-06-03 London 6
## 423 2020-06-04 London 8
## 424 2020-06-05 London 4
## 425 2020-06-06 London 0
## 426 2020-06-07 London 5
## 427 2020-06-08 London 5
## 428 2020-06-09 London 5
## 429 2020-06-10 London 8
## 430 2020-06-11 London 5
## 431 2020-06-12 London 3
## 432 2020-06-13 London 3
## 433 2020-06-14 London 3
## 434 2020-06-15 London 1
## 435 2020-06-16 London 2
## 436 2020-06-17 London 1
## 437 2020-06-18 London 2
## 438 2020-06-19 London 5
## 439 2020-06-20 London 3
## 440 2020-06-21 London 4
## 441 2020-06-22 London 2
## 442 2020-06-23 London 1
## 443 2020-06-24 London 4
## 444 2020-06-25 London 3
## 445 2020-06-26 London 2
## 446 2020-06-27 London 1
## 447 2020-06-28 London 2
## 448 2020-06-29 London 2
## 449 2020-06-30 London 1
## 450 2020-07-01 London 3
## 451 2020-07-02 London 2
## 452 2020-07-03 London 2
## 453 2020-07-04 London 1
## 454 2020-07-05 London 3
## 455 2020-07-06 London 2
## 456 2020-07-07 London 1
## 457 2020-07-08 London 3
## 458 2020-07-09 London 4
## 459 2020-07-10 London 0
## 460 2020-07-11 London 1
## 461 2020-07-12 London 1
## 462 2020-07-13 London 1
## 463 2020-07-14 London 0
## 464 2020-07-15 London 2
## 465 2020-07-16 London 0
## 466 2020-07-17 London 0
## 467 2020-07-18 London 2
## 468 2020-07-19 London 0
## 469 2020-07-20 London 0
## 470 2020-07-21 London 1
## 471 2020-07-22 London 0
## 472 2020-07-23 London 2
## 473 2020-07-24 London 0
## 474 2020-07-25 London 1
## 475 2020-07-26 London 0
## 476 2020-07-27 London 1
## 477 2020-07-28 London 0
## 478 2020-07-29 London 0
## 479 2020-07-30 London 1
## 480 2020-07-31 London 0
## 481 2020-08-01 London 0
## 482 2020-08-02 London 3
## 483 2020-08-03 London 0
## 484 2020-08-04 London 0
## 485 2020-08-05 London 0
## 486 2020-08-06 London 1
## 487 2020-08-07 London 0
## 488 2020-08-08 London 0
## 489 2020-08-09 London 0
## 490 2020-08-10 London 0
## 491 2020-08-11 London 1
## 492 2020-08-12 London 0
## 493 2020-08-13 London 2
## 494 2020-08-14 London 0
## 495 2020-08-15 London 0
## 496 2020-08-16 London 0
## 497 2020-08-17 London 1
## 498 2020-08-18 London 1
## 499 2020-08-19 London 0
## 500 2020-08-20 London 1
## 501 2020-08-21 London 0
## 502 2020-08-22 London 0
## 503 2020-08-23 London 0
## 504 2020-08-24 London 1
## 505 2020-08-25 London 1
## 506 2020-08-26 London 0
## 507 2020-08-27 London 0
## 508 2020-08-28 London 0
## 509 2020-08-29 London 0
## 510 2020-08-30 London 0
## 511 2020-08-31 London 1
## 512 2020-09-01 London 0
## 513 2020-09-02 London 1
## 514 2020-09-03 London 1
## 515 2020-09-04 London 0
## 516 2020-09-05 London 0
## 517 2020-09-06 London 2
## 518 2020-09-07 London 0
## 519 2020-09-08 London 0
## 520 2020-09-09 London 0
## 521 2020-09-10 London 2
## 522 2020-09-11 London 1
## 523 2020-09-12 London 1
## 524 2020-09-13 London 0
## 525 2020-09-14 London 0
## 526 2020-09-15 London 1
## 527 2020-09-16 London 2
## 528 2020-09-17 London 2
## 529 2020-09-18 London 1
## 530 2020-09-19 London 3
## 531 2020-09-20 London 3
## 532 2020-09-21 London 2
## 533 2020-09-22 London 6
## 534 2020-09-23 London 4
## 535 2020-09-24 London 3
## 536 2020-09-25 London 1
## 537 2020-09-26 London 1
## 538 2020-09-27 London 1
## 539 2020-09-28 London 3
## 540 2020-09-29 London 7
## 541 2020-09-30 London 6
## 542 2020-10-01 London 4
## 543 2020-10-02 London 1
## 544 2020-10-03 London 3
## 545 2020-10-04 London 2
## 546 2020-10-05 London 7
## 547 2020-10-06 London 4
## 548 2020-10-07 London 6
## 549 2020-10-08 London 6
## 550 2020-10-09 London 7
## 551 2020-10-10 London 3
## 552 2020-10-11 London 5
## 553 2020-10-12 London 7
## 554 2020-10-13 London 4
## 555 2020-10-14 London 6
## 556 2020-10-15 London 13
## 557 2020-10-16 London 6
## 558 2020-10-17 London 2
## 559 2020-10-18 London 5
## 560 2020-10-19 London 11
## 561 2020-10-20 London 8
## 562 2020-10-21 London 14
## 563 2020-10-22 London 12
## 564 2020-10-23 London 7
## 565 2020-10-24 London 18
## 566 2020-10-25 London 10
## 567 2020-10-26 London 10
## 568 2020-10-27 London 12
## 569 2020-10-28 London 23
## 570 2020-10-29 London 14
## 571 2020-10-30 London 17
## 572 2020-10-31 London 7
## 573 2020-11-01 London 17
## 574 2020-11-02 London 16
## 575 2020-11-03 London 10
## 576 2020-11-04 London 18
## 577 2020-11-05 London 17
## 578 2020-11-06 London 12
## 579 2020-11-07 London 21
## 580 2020-11-08 London 15
## 581 2020-11-09 London 28
## 582 2020-11-10 London 14
## 583 2020-11-11 London 15
## 584 2020-11-12 London 16
## 585 2020-11-13 London 14
## 586 2020-11-14 London 21
## 587 2020-11-15 London 18
## 588 2020-11-16 London 29
## 589 2020-11-17 London 29
## 590 2020-11-18 London 23
## 591 2020-11-19 London 24
## 592 2020-11-20 London 20
## 593 2020-11-21 London 18
## 594 2020-11-22 London 29
## 595 2020-11-23 London 19
## 596 2020-11-24 London 26
## 597 2020-11-25 London 30
## 598 2020-11-26 London 25
## 599 2020-11-27 London 28
## 600 2020-11-28 London 23
## 601 2020-11-29 London 40
## 602 2020-11-30 London 19
## 603 2020-12-01 London 28
## 604 2020-12-02 London 30
## 605 2020-12-03 London 27
## 606 2020-12-04 London 29
## 607 2020-12-05 London 24
## 608 2020-12-06 London 24
## 609 2020-12-07 London 29
## 610 2020-12-08 London 35
## 611 2020-12-09 London 27
## 612 2020-12-10 London 29
## 613 2020-12-11 London 26
## 614 2020-12-12 London 33
## 615 2020-12-13 London 33
## 616 2020-12-14 London 37
## 617 2020-12-15 London 49
## 618 2020-12-16 London 35
## 619 2020-12-17 London 56
## 620 2020-12-18 London 40
## 621 2020-12-19 London 39
## 622 2020-12-20 London 52
## 623 2020-12-21 London 57
## 624 2020-12-22 London 56
## 625 2020-12-23 London 57
## 626 2020-12-24 London 64
## 627 2020-12-25 London 81
## 628 2020-12-26 London 82
## 629 2020-12-27 London 91
## 630 2020-12-28 London 88
## 631 2020-12-29 London 107
## 632 2020-12-30 London 98
## 633 2020-12-31 London 107
## 634 2021-01-01 London 112
## 635 2021-01-02 London 124
## 636 2021-01-03 London 106
## 637 2021-01-04 London 147
## 638 2021-01-05 London 141
## 639 2021-01-06 London 145
## 640 2021-01-07 London 155
## 641 2021-01-08 London 138
## 642 2021-01-09 London 144
## 643 2021-01-10 London 159
## 644 2021-01-11 London 157
## 645 2021-01-12 London 168
## 646 2021-01-13 London 162
## 647 2021-01-14 London 153
## 648 2021-01-15 London 141
## 649 2021-01-16 London 136
## 650 2021-01-17 London 154
## 651 2021-01-18 London 163
## 652 2021-01-19 London 138
## 653 2021-01-20 London 87
## 654 2021-01-21 London 20
## 655 2020-03-01 Midlands 0
## 656 2020-03-02 Midlands 0
## 657 2020-03-03 Midlands 1
## 658 2020-03-04 Midlands 0
## 659 2020-03-05 Midlands 0
## 660 2020-03-06 Midlands 0
## 661 2020-03-07 Midlands 0
## 662 2020-03-08 Midlands 2
## 663 2020-03-09 Midlands 1
## 664 2020-03-10 Midlands 0
## 665 2020-03-11 Midlands 2
## 666 2020-03-12 Midlands 6
## 667 2020-03-13 Midlands 5
## 668 2020-03-14 Midlands 4
## 669 2020-03-15 Midlands 5
## 670 2020-03-16 Midlands 11
## 671 2020-03-17 Midlands 8
## 672 2020-03-18 Midlands 13
## 673 2020-03-19 Midlands 8
## 674 2020-03-20 Midlands 28
## 675 2020-03-21 Midlands 13
## 676 2020-03-22 Midlands 31
## 677 2020-03-23 Midlands 33
## 678 2020-03-24 Midlands 41
## 679 2020-03-25 Midlands 48
## 680 2020-03-26 Midlands 64
## 681 2020-03-27 Midlands 72
## 682 2020-03-28 Midlands 89
## 683 2020-03-29 Midlands 92
## 684 2020-03-30 Midlands 90
## 685 2020-03-31 Midlands 123
## 686 2020-04-01 Midlands 140
## 687 2020-04-02 Midlands 142
## 688 2020-04-03 Midlands 124
## 689 2020-04-04 Midlands 151
## 690 2020-04-05 Midlands 164
## 691 2020-04-06 Midlands 140
## 692 2020-04-07 Midlands 123
## 693 2020-04-08 Midlands 186
## 694 2020-04-09 Midlands 140
## 695 2020-04-10 Midlands 127
## 696 2020-04-11 Midlands 142
## 697 2020-04-12 Midlands 139
## 698 2020-04-13 Midlands 120
## 699 2020-04-14 Midlands 116
## 700 2020-04-15 Midlands 147
## 701 2020-04-16 Midlands 102
## 702 2020-04-17 Midlands 118
## 703 2020-04-18 Midlands 115
## 704 2020-04-19 Midlands 93
## 705 2020-04-20 Midlands 107
## 706 2020-04-21 Midlands 86
## 707 2020-04-22 Midlands 78
## 708 2020-04-23 Midlands 103
## 709 2020-04-24 Midlands 79
## 710 2020-04-25 Midlands 72
## 711 2020-04-26 Midlands 81
## 712 2020-04-27 Midlands 74
## 713 2020-04-28 Midlands 68
## 714 2020-04-29 Midlands 53
## 715 2020-04-30 Midlands 56
## 716 2020-05-01 Midlands 64
## 717 2020-05-02 Midlands 51
## 718 2020-05-03 Midlands 52
## 719 2020-05-04 Midlands 61
## 720 2020-05-05 Midlands 59
## 721 2020-05-06 Midlands 59
## 722 2020-05-07 Midlands 48
## 723 2020-05-08 Midlands 34
## 724 2020-05-09 Midlands 37
## 725 2020-05-10 Midlands 42
## 726 2020-05-11 Midlands 33
## 727 2020-05-12 Midlands 45
## 728 2020-05-13 Midlands 40
## 729 2020-05-14 Midlands 39
## 730 2020-05-15 Midlands 40
## 731 2020-05-16 Midlands 34
## 732 2020-05-17 Midlands 31
## 733 2020-05-18 Midlands 36
## 734 2020-05-19 Midlands 35
## 735 2020-05-20 Midlands 36
## 736 2020-05-21 Midlands 32
## 737 2020-05-22 Midlands 27
## 738 2020-05-23 Midlands 34
## 739 2020-05-24 Midlands 20
## 740 2020-05-25 Midlands 26
## 741 2020-05-26 Midlands 33
## 742 2020-05-27 Midlands 29
## 743 2020-05-28 Midlands 28
## 744 2020-05-29 Midlands 20
## 745 2020-05-30 Midlands 21
## 746 2020-05-31 Midlands 22
## 747 2020-06-01 Midlands 20
## 748 2020-06-02 Midlands 22
## 749 2020-06-03 Midlands 24
## 750 2020-06-04 Midlands 16
## 751 2020-06-05 Midlands 21
## 752 2020-06-06 Midlands 20
## 753 2020-06-07 Midlands 17
## 754 2020-06-08 Midlands 16
## 755 2020-06-09 Midlands 18
## 756 2020-06-10 Midlands 15
## 757 2020-06-11 Midlands 13
## 758 2020-06-12 Midlands 12
## 759 2020-06-13 Midlands 6
## 760 2020-06-14 Midlands 18
## 761 2020-06-15 Midlands 12
## 762 2020-06-16 Midlands 15
## 763 2020-06-17 Midlands 11
## 764 2020-06-18 Midlands 15
## 765 2020-06-19 Midlands 10
## 766 2020-06-20 Midlands 15
## 767 2020-06-21 Midlands 14
## 768 2020-06-22 Midlands 14
## 769 2020-06-23 Midlands 16
## 770 2020-06-24 Midlands 15
## 771 2020-06-25 Midlands 18
## 772 2020-06-26 Midlands 5
## 773 2020-06-27 Midlands 5
## 774 2020-06-28 Midlands 7
## 775 2020-06-29 Midlands 6
## 776 2020-06-30 Midlands 6
## 777 2020-07-01 Midlands 7
## 778 2020-07-02 Midlands 10
## 779 2020-07-03 Midlands 3
## 780 2020-07-04 Midlands 4
## 781 2020-07-05 Midlands 6
## 782 2020-07-06 Midlands 5
## 783 2020-07-07 Midlands 3
## 784 2020-07-08 Midlands 5
## 785 2020-07-09 Midlands 9
## 786 2020-07-10 Midlands 3
## 787 2020-07-11 Midlands 0
## 788 2020-07-12 Midlands 5
## 789 2020-07-13 Midlands 1
## 790 2020-07-14 Midlands 1
## 791 2020-07-15 Midlands 6
## 792 2020-07-16 Midlands 2
## 793 2020-07-17 Midlands 3
## 794 2020-07-18 Midlands 3
## 795 2020-07-19 Midlands 3
## 796 2020-07-20 Midlands 3
## 797 2020-07-21 Midlands 1
## 798 2020-07-22 Midlands 2
## 799 2020-07-23 Midlands 6
## 800 2020-07-24 Midlands 1
## 801 2020-07-25 Midlands 4
## 802 2020-07-26 Midlands 4
## 803 2020-07-27 Midlands 5
## 804 2020-07-28 Midlands 1
## 805 2020-07-29 Midlands 1
## 806 2020-07-30 Midlands 1
## 807 2020-07-31 Midlands 2
## 808 2020-08-01 Midlands 0
## 809 2020-08-02 Midlands 1
## 810 2020-08-03 Midlands 2
## 811 2020-08-04 Midlands 1
## 812 2020-08-05 Midlands 1
## 813 2020-08-06 Midlands 0
## 814 2020-08-07 Midlands 3
## 815 2020-08-08 Midlands 2
## 816 2020-08-09 Midlands 0
## 817 2020-08-10 Midlands 0
## 818 2020-08-11 Midlands 2
## 819 2020-08-12 Midlands 0
## 820 2020-08-13 Midlands 0
## 821 2020-08-14 Midlands 0
## 822 2020-08-15 Midlands 1
## 823 2020-08-16 Midlands 0
## 824 2020-08-17 Midlands 0
## 825 2020-08-18 Midlands 0
## 826 2020-08-19 Midlands 0
## 827 2020-08-20 Midlands 0
## 828 2020-08-21 Midlands 1
## 829 2020-08-22 Midlands 0
## 830 2020-08-23 Midlands 0
## 831 2020-08-24 Midlands 0
## 832 2020-08-25 Midlands 2
## 833 2020-08-26 Midlands 3
## 834 2020-08-27 Midlands 2
## 835 2020-08-28 Midlands 1
## 836 2020-08-29 Midlands 0
## 837 2020-08-30 Midlands 2
## 838 2020-08-31 Midlands 1
## 839 2020-09-01 Midlands 0
## 840 2020-09-02 Midlands 2
## 841 2020-09-03 Midlands 0
## 842 2020-09-04 Midlands 0
## 843 2020-09-05 Midlands 0
## 844 2020-09-06 Midlands 1
## 845 2020-09-07 Midlands 1
## 846 2020-09-08 Midlands 3
## 847 2020-09-09 Midlands 0
## 848 2020-09-10 Midlands 1
## 849 2020-09-11 Midlands 1
## 850 2020-09-12 Midlands 2
## 851 2020-09-13 Midlands 4
## 852 2020-09-14 Midlands 1
## 853 2020-09-15 Midlands 2
## 854 2020-09-16 Midlands 3
## 855 2020-09-17 Midlands 2
## 856 2020-09-18 Midlands 5
## 857 2020-09-19 Midlands 2
## 858 2020-09-20 Midlands 7
## 859 2020-09-21 Midlands 3
## 860 2020-09-22 Midlands 4
## 861 2020-09-23 Midlands 10
## 862 2020-09-24 Midlands 7
## 863 2020-09-25 Midlands 4
## 864 2020-09-26 Midlands 5
## 865 2020-09-27 Midlands 9
## 866 2020-09-28 Midlands 6
## 867 2020-09-29 Midlands 4
## 868 2020-09-30 Midlands 5
## 869 2020-10-01 Midlands 8
## 870 2020-10-02 Midlands 7
## 871 2020-10-03 Midlands 6
## 872 2020-10-04 Midlands 7
## 873 2020-10-05 Midlands 6
## 874 2020-10-06 Midlands 5
## 875 2020-10-07 Midlands 9
## 876 2020-10-08 Midlands 8
## 877 2020-10-09 Midlands 7
## 878 2020-10-10 Midlands 2
## 879 2020-10-11 Midlands 15
## 880 2020-10-12 Midlands 7
## 881 2020-10-13 Midlands 16
## 882 2020-10-14 Midlands 12
## 883 2020-10-15 Midlands 11
## 884 2020-10-16 Midlands 18
## 885 2020-10-17 Midlands 25
## 886 2020-10-18 Midlands 11
## 887 2020-10-19 Midlands 14
## 888 2020-10-20 Midlands 19
## 889 2020-10-21 Midlands 15
## 890 2020-10-22 Midlands 34
## 891 2020-10-23 Midlands 32
## 892 2020-10-24 Midlands 24
## 893 2020-10-25 Midlands 30
## 894 2020-10-26 Midlands 33
## 895 2020-10-27 Midlands 38
## 896 2020-10-28 Midlands 30
## 897 2020-10-29 Midlands 42
## 898 2020-10-30 Midlands 42
## 899 2020-10-31 Midlands 50
## 900 2020-11-01 Midlands 44
## 901 2020-11-02 Midlands 58
## 902 2020-11-03 Midlands 37
## 903 2020-11-04 Midlands 67
## 904 2020-11-05 Midlands 50
## 905 2020-11-06 Midlands 43
## 906 2020-11-07 Midlands 60
## 907 2020-11-08 Midlands 55
## 908 2020-11-09 Midlands 67
## 909 2020-11-10 Midlands 68
## 910 2020-11-11 Midlands 57
## 911 2020-11-12 Midlands 64
## 912 2020-11-13 Midlands 47
## 913 2020-11-14 Midlands 66
## 914 2020-11-15 Midlands 72
## 915 2020-11-16 Midlands 66
## 916 2020-11-17 Midlands 66
## 917 2020-11-18 Midlands 83
## 918 2020-11-19 Midlands 72
## 919 2020-11-20 Midlands 87
## 920 2020-11-21 Midlands 59
## 921 2020-11-22 Midlands 84
## 922 2020-11-23 Midlands 80
## 923 2020-11-24 Midlands 73
## 924 2020-11-25 Midlands 74
## 925 2020-11-26 Midlands 77
## 926 2020-11-27 Midlands 78
## 927 2020-11-28 Midlands 80
## 928 2020-11-29 Midlands 86
## 929 2020-11-30 Midlands 79
## 930 2020-12-01 Midlands 74
## 931 2020-12-02 Midlands 64
## 932 2020-12-03 Midlands 82
## 933 2020-12-04 Midlands 67
## 934 2020-12-05 Midlands 71
## 935 2020-12-06 Midlands 75
## 936 2020-12-07 Midlands 68
## 937 2020-12-08 Midlands 65
## 938 2020-12-09 Midlands 63
## 939 2020-12-10 Midlands 74
## 940 2020-12-11 Midlands 65
## 941 2020-12-12 Midlands 80
## 942 2020-12-13 Midlands 77
## 943 2020-12-14 Midlands 76
## 944 2020-12-15 Midlands 73
## 945 2020-12-16 Midlands 73
## 946 2020-12-17 Midlands 84
## 947 2020-12-18 Midlands 80
## 948 2020-12-19 Midlands 56
## 949 2020-12-20 Midlands 66
## 950 2020-12-21 Midlands 84
## 951 2020-12-22 Midlands 74
## 952 2020-12-23 Midlands 58
## 953 2020-12-24 Midlands 66
## 954 2020-12-25 Midlands 78
## 955 2020-12-26 Midlands 71
## 956 2020-12-27 Midlands 84
## 957 2020-12-28 Midlands 62
## 958 2020-12-29 Midlands 81
## 959 2020-12-30 Midlands 97
## 960 2020-12-31 Midlands 86
## 961 2021-01-01 Midlands 75
## 962 2021-01-02 Midlands 73
## 963 2021-01-03 Midlands 70
## 964 2021-01-04 Midlands 91
## 965 2021-01-05 Midlands 101
## 966 2021-01-06 Midlands 109
## 967 2021-01-07 Midlands 102
## 968 2021-01-08 Midlands 129
## 969 2021-01-09 Midlands 137
## 970 2021-01-10 Midlands 118
## 971 2021-01-11 Midlands 142
## 972 2021-01-12 Midlands 156
## 973 2021-01-13 Midlands 136
## 974 2021-01-14 Midlands 151
## 975 2021-01-15 Midlands 129
## 976 2021-01-16 Midlands 145
## 977 2021-01-17 Midlands 146
## 978 2021-01-18 Midlands 143
## 979 2021-01-19 Midlands 140
## 980 2021-01-20 Midlands 94
## 981 2021-01-21 Midlands 23
## 982 2020-03-01 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 983 2020-03-02 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 984 2020-03-03 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 985 2020-03-04 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 986 2020-03-05 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 987 2020-03-06 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 988 2020-03-07 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 989 2020-03-08 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 990 2020-03-09 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 991 2020-03-10 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 992 2020-03-11 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 993 2020-03-12 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 994 2020-03-13 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 995 2020-03-14 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 996 2020-03-15 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 997 2020-03-16 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 998 2020-03-17 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 999 2020-03-18 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1000 2020-03-19 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1001 2020-03-20 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1002 2020-03-21 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1003 2020-03-22 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1004 2020-03-23 North East and Yorkshire 9
## 1005 2020-03-24 North East and Yorkshire 8
## 1006 2020-03-25 North East and Yorkshire 18
## 1007 2020-03-26 North East and Yorkshire 21
## 1008 2020-03-27 North East and Yorkshire 28
## 1009 2020-03-28 North East and Yorkshire 35
## 1010 2020-03-29 North East and Yorkshire 38
## 1011 2020-03-30 North East and Yorkshire 64
## 1012 2020-03-31 North East and Yorkshire 60
## 1013 2020-04-01 North East and Yorkshire 67
## 1014 2020-04-02 North East and Yorkshire 75
## 1015 2020-04-03 North East and Yorkshire 100
## 1016 2020-04-04 North East and Yorkshire 105
## 1017 2020-04-05 North East and Yorkshire 92
## 1018 2020-04-06 North East and Yorkshire 96
## 1019 2020-04-07 North East and Yorkshire 102
## 1020 2020-04-08 North East and Yorkshire 107
## 1021 2020-04-09 North East and Yorkshire 111
## 1022 2020-04-10 North East and Yorkshire 117
## 1023 2020-04-11 North East and Yorkshire 98
## 1024 2020-04-12 North East and Yorkshire 84
## 1025 2020-04-13 North East and Yorkshire 94
## 1026 2020-04-14 North East and Yorkshire 107
## 1027 2020-04-15 North East and Yorkshire 96
## 1028 2020-04-16 North East and Yorkshire 103
## 1029 2020-04-17 North East and Yorkshire 88
## 1030 2020-04-18 North East and Yorkshire 95
## 1031 2020-04-19 North East and Yorkshire 88
## 1032 2020-04-20 North East and Yorkshire 100
## 1033 2020-04-21 North East and Yorkshire 76
## 1034 2020-04-22 North East and Yorkshire 84
## 1035 2020-04-23 North East and Yorkshire 63
## 1036 2020-04-24 North East and Yorkshire 72
## 1037 2020-04-25 North East and Yorkshire 69
## 1038 2020-04-26 North East and Yorkshire 65
## 1039 2020-04-27 North East and Yorkshire 65
## 1040 2020-04-28 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1041 2020-04-29 North East and Yorkshire 69
## 1042 2020-04-30 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1043 2020-05-01 North East and Yorkshire 64
## 1044 2020-05-02 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1045 2020-05-03 North East and Yorkshire 40
## 1046 2020-05-04 North East and Yorkshire 49
## 1047 2020-05-05 North East and Yorkshire 40
## 1048 2020-05-06 North East and Yorkshire 51
## 1049 2020-05-07 North East and Yorkshire 45
## 1050 2020-05-08 North East and Yorkshire 42
## 1051 2020-05-09 North East and Yorkshire 44
## 1052 2020-05-10 North East and Yorkshire 40
## 1053 2020-05-11 North East and Yorkshire 29
## 1054 2020-05-12 North East and Yorkshire 27
## 1055 2020-05-13 North East and Yorkshire 28
## 1056 2020-05-14 North East and Yorkshire 31
## 1057 2020-05-15 North East and Yorkshire 32
## 1058 2020-05-16 North East and Yorkshire 35
## 1059 2020-05-17 North East and Yorkshire 26
## 1060 2020-05-18 North East and Yorkshire 30
## 1061 2020-05-19 North East and Yorkshire 27
## 1062 2020-05-20 North East and Yorkshire 22
## 1063 2020-05-21 North East and Yorkshire 33
## 1064 2020-05-22 North East and Yorkshire 22
## 1065 2020-05-23 North East and Yorkshire 18
## 1066 2020-05-24 North East and Yorkshire 26
## 1067 2020-05-25 North East and Yorkshire 21
## 1068 2020-05-26 North East and Yorkshire 21
## 1069 2020-05-27 North East and Yorkshire 22
## 1070 2020-05-28 North East and Yorkshire 21
## 1071 2020-05-29 North East and Yorkshire 25
## 1072 2020-05-30 North East and Yorkshire 20
## 1073 2020-05-31 North East and Yorkshire 20
## 1074 2020-06-01 North East and Yorkshire 17
## 1075 2020-06-02 North East and Yorkshire 23
## 1076 2020-06-03 North East and Yorkshire 24
## 1077 2020-06-04 North East and Yorkshire 17
## 1078 2020-06-05 North East and Yorkshire 18
## 1079 2020-06-06 North East and Yorkshire 21
## 1080 2020-06-07 North East and Yorkshire 14
## 1081 2020-06-08 North East and Yorkshire 11
## 1082 2020-06-09 North East and Yorkshire 12
## 1083 2020-06-10 North East and Yorkshire 19
## 1084 2020-06-11 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1085 2020-06-12 North East and Yorkshire 9
## 1086 2020-06-13 North East and Yorkshire 10
## 1087 2020-06-14 North East and Yorkshire 11
## 1088 2020-06-15 North East and Yorkshire 9
## 1089 2020-06-16 North East and Yorkshire 10
## 1090 2020-06-17 North East and Yorkshire 9
## 1091 2020-06-18 North East and Yorkshire 11
## 1092 2020-06-19 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1093 2020-06-20 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1094 2020-06-21 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1095 2020-06-22 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1096 2020-06-23 North East and Yorkshire 8
## 1097 2020-06-24 North East and Yorkshire 10
## 1098 2020-06-25 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1099 2020-06-26 North East and Yorkshire 8
## 1100 2020-06-27 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1101 2020-06-28 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1102 2020-06-29 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1103 2020-06-30 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1104 2020-07-01 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1105 2020-07-02 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1106 2020-07-03 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1107 2020-07-04 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1108 2020-07-05 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1109 2020-07-06 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1110 2020-07-07 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1111 2020-07-08 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1112 2020-07-09 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1113 2020-07-10 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1114 2020-07-11 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1115 2020-07-12 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1116 2020-07-13 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1117 2020-07-14 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1118 2020-07-15 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1119 2020-07-16 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1120 2020-07-17 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1121 2020-07-18 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1122 2020-07-19 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1123 2020-07-20 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1124 2020-07-21 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1125 2020-07-22 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1126 2020-07-23 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1127 2020-07-24 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1128 2020-07-25 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1129 2020-07-26 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1130 2020-07-27 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1131 2020-07-28 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1132 2020-07-29 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1133 2020-07-30 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1134 2020-07-31 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1135 2020-08-01 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1136 2020-08-02 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1137 2020-08-03 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1138 2020-08-04 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1139 2020-08-05 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1140 2020-08-06 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1141 2020-08-07 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1142 2020-08-08 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1143 2020-08-09 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1144 2020-08-10 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1145 2020-08-11 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1146 2020-08-12 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1147 2020-08-13 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1148 2020-08-14 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1149 2020-08-15 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1150 2020-08-16 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1151 2020-08-17 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1152 2020-08-18 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1153 2020-08-19 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1154 2020-08-20 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1155 2020-08-21 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1156 2020-08-22 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1157 2020-08-23 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1158 2020-08-24 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1159 2020-08-25 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1160 2020-08-26 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1161 2020-08-27 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1162 2020-08-28 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1163 2020-08-29 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1164 2020-08-30 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1165 2020-08-31 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1166 2020-09-01 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1167 2020-09-02 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1168 2020-09-03 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1169 2020-09-04 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1170 2020-09-05 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1171 2020-09-06 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1172 2020-09-07 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1173 2020-09-08 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1174 2020-09-09 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1175 2020-09-10 North East and Yorkshire 0
## 1176 2020-09-11 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1177 2020-09-12 North East and Yorkshire 1
## 1178 2020-09-13 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1179 2020-09-14 North East and Yorkshire 4
## 1180 2020-09-15 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1181 2020-09-16 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1182 2020-09-17 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1183 2020-09-18 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1184 2020-09-19 North East and Yorkshire 2
## 1185 2020-09-20 North East and Yorkshire 9
## 1186 2020-09-21 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1187 2020-09-22 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1188 2020-09-23 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1189 2020-09-24 North East and Yorkshire 3
## 1190 2020-09-25 North East and Yorkshire 5
## 1191 2020-09-26 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1192 2020-09-27 North East and Yorkshire 10
## 1193 2020-09-28 North East and Yorkshire 6
## 1194 2020-09-29 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1195 2020-09-30 North East and Yorkshire 7
## 1196 2020-10-01 North East and Yorkshire 8
## 1197 2020-10-02 North East and Yorkshire 16
## 1198 2020-10-03 North East and Yorkshire 12
## 1199 2020-10-04 North East and Yorkshire 13
## 1200 2020-10-05 North East and Yorkshire 10
## 1201 2020-10-06 North East and Yorkshire 15
## 1202 2020-10-07 North East and Yorkshire 13
## 1203 2020-10-08 North East and Yorkshire 16
## 1204 2020-10-09 North East and Yorkshire 10
## 1205 2020-10-10 North East and Yorkshire 16
## 1206 2020-10-11 North East and Yorkshire 16
## 1207 2020-10-12 North East and Yorkshire 15
## 1208 2020-10-13 North East and Yorkshire 21
## 1209 2020-10-14 North East and Yorkshire 20
## 1210 2020-10-15 North East and Yorkshire 23
## 1211 2020-10-16 North East and Yorkshire 24
## 1212 2020-10-17 North East and Yorkshire 34
## 1213 2020-10-18 North East and Yorkshire 22
## 1214 2020-10-19 North East and Yorkshire 34
## 1215 2020-10-20 North East and Yorkshire 37
## 1216 2020-10-21 North East and Yorkshire 42
## 1217 2020-10-22 North East and Yorkshire 33
## 1218 2020-10-23 North East and Yorkshire 31
## 1219 2020-10-24 North East and Yorkshire 34
## 1220 2020-10-25 North East and Yorkshire 35
## 1221 2020-10-26 North East and Yorkshire 45
## 1222 2020-10-27 North East and Yorkshire 45
## 1223 2020-10-28 North East and Yorkshire 39
## 1224 2020-10-29 North East and Yorkshire 51
## 1225 2020-10-30 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1226 2020-10-31 North East and Yorkshire 58
## 1227 2020-11-01 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1228 2020-11-02 North East and Yorkshire 50
## 1229 2020-11-03 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1230 2020-11-04 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1231 2020-11-05 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1232 2020-11-06 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1233 2020-11-07 North East and Yorkshire 75
## 1234 2020-11-08 North East and Yorkshire 61
## 1235 2020-11-09 North East and Yorkshire 87
## 1236 2020-11-10 North East and Yorkshire 65
## 1237 2020-11-11 North East and Yorkshire 59
## 1238 2020-11-12 North East and Yorkshire 77
## 1239 2020-11-13 North East and Yorkshire 78
## 1240 2020-11-14 North East and Yorkshire 72
## 1241 2020-11-15 North East and Yorkshire 77
## 1242 2020-11-16 North East and Yorkshire 51
## 1243 2020-11-17 North East and Yorkshire 68
## 1244 2020-11-18 North East and Yorkshire 80
## 1245 2020-11-19 North East and Yorkshire 72
## 1246 2020-11-20 North East and Yorkshire 75
## 1247 2020-11-21 North East and Yorkshire 54
## 1248 2020-11-22 North East and Yorkshire 80
## 1249 2020-11-23 North East and Yorkshire 83
## 1250 2020-11-24 North East and Yorkshire 81
## 1251 2020-11-25 North East and Yorkshire 70
## 1252 2020-11-26 North East and Yorkshire 64
## 1253 2020-11-27 North East and Yorkshire 62
## 1254 2020-11-28 North East and Yorkshire 76
## 1255 2020-11-29 North East and Yorkshire 61
## 1256 2020-11-30 North East and Yorkshire 55
## 1257 2020-12-01 North East and Yorkshire 44
## 1258 2020-12-02 North East and Yorkshire 59
## 1259 2020-12-03 North East and Yorkshire 71
## 1260 2020-12-04 North East and Yorkshire 64
## 1261 2020-12-05 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1262 2020-12-06 North East and Yorkshire 63
## 1263 2020-12-07 North East and Yorkshire 49
## 1264 2020-12-08 North East and Yorkshire 54
## 1265 2020-12-09 North East and Yorkshire 49
## 1266 2020-12-10 North East and Yorkshire 55
## 1267 2020-12-11 North East and Yorkshire 55
## 1268 2020-12-12 North East and Yorkshire 55
## 1269 2020-12-13 North East and Yorkshire 51
## 1270 2020-12-14 North East and Yorkshire 49
## 1271 2020-12-15 North East and Yorkshire 54
## 1272 2020-12-16 North East and Yorkshire 40
## 1273 2020-12-17 North East and Yorkshire 49
## 1274 2020-12-18 North East and Yorkshire 58
## 1275 2020-12-19 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1276 2020-12-20 North East and Yorkshire 52
## 1277 2020-12-21 North East and Yorkshire 35
## 1278 2020-12-22 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1279 2020-12-23 North East and Yorkshire 56
## 1280 2020-12-24 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1281 2020-12-25 North East and Yorkshire 56
## 1282 2020-12-26 North East and Yorkshire 65
## 1283 2020-12-27 North East and Yorkshire 67
## 1284 2020-12-28 North East and Yorkshire 61
## 1285 2020-12-29 North East and Yorkshire 57
## 1286 2020-12-30 North East and Yorkshire 41
## 1287 2020-12-31 North East and Yorkshire 49
## 1288 2021-01-01 North East and Yorkshire 68
## 1289 2021-01-02 North East and Yorkshire 55
## 1290 2021-01-03 North East and Yorkshire 48
## 1291 2021-01-04 North East and Yorkshire 61
## 1292 2021-01-05 North East and Yorkshire 62
## 1293 2021-01-06 North East and Yorkshire 59
## 1294 2021-01-07 North East and Yorkshire 68
## 1295 2021-01-08 North East and Yorkshire 66
## 1296 2021-01-09 North East and Yorkshire 53
## 1297 2021-01-10 North East and Yorkshire 77
## 1298 2021-01-11 North East and Yorkshire 78
## 1299 2021-01-12 North East and Yorkshire 61
## 1300 2021-01-13 North East and Yorkshire 68
## 1301 2021-01-14 North East and Yorkshire 65
## 1302 2021-01-15 North East and Yorkshire 81
## 1303 2021-01-16 North East and Yorkshire 94
## 1304 2021-01-17 North East and Yorkshire 70
## 1305 2021-01-18 North East and Yorkshire 74
## 1306 2021-01-19 North East and Yorkshire 94
## 1307 2021-01-20 North East and Yorkshire 69
## 1308 2021-01-21 North East and Yorkshire 23
## 1309 2020-03-01 North West 0
## 1310 2020-03-02 North West 0
## 1311 2020-03-03 North West 0
## 1312 2020-03-04 North West 0
## 1313 2020-03-05 North West 1
## 1314 2020-03-06 North West 0
## 1315 2020-03-07 North West 0
## 1316 2020-03-08 North West 1
## 1317 2020-03-09 North West 0
## 1318 2020-03-10 North West 0
## 1319 2020-03-11 North West 0
## 1320 2020-03-12 North West 2
## 1321 2020-03-13 North West 3
## 1322 2020-03-14 North West 1
## 1323 2020-03-15 North West 4
## 1324 2020-03-16 North West 2
## 1325 2020-03-17 North West 4
## 1326 2020-03-18 North West 6
## 1327 2020-03-19 North West 7
## 1328 2020-03-20 North West 10
## 1329 2020-03-21 North West 11
## 1330 2020-03-22 North West 13
## 1331 2020-03-23 North West 15
## 1332 2020-03-24 North West 21
## 1333 2020-03-25 North West 21
## 1334 2020-03-26 North West 29
## 1335 2020-03-27 North West 36
## 1336 2020-03-28 North West 28
## 1337 2020-03-29 North West 46
## 1338 2020-03-30 North West 67
## 1339 2020-03-31 North West 52
## 1340 2020-04-01 North West 86
## 1341 2020-04-02 North West 96
## 1342 2020-04-03 North West 95
## 1343 2020-04-04 North West 98
## 1344 2020-04-05 North West 102
## 1345 2020-04-06 North West 100
## 1346 2020-04-07 North West 136
## 1347 2020-04-08 North West 127
## 1348 2020-04-09 North West 119
## 1349 2020-04-10 North West 117
## 1350 2020-04-11 North West 138
## 1351 2020-04-12 North West 125
## 1352 2020-04-13 North West 130
## 1353 2020-04-14 North West 130
## 1354 2020-04-15 North West 114
## 1355 2020-04-16 North West 135
## 1356 2020-04-17 North West 98
## 1357 2020-04-18 North West 113
## 1358 2020-04-19 North West 71
## 1359 2020-04-20 North West 83
## 1360 2020-04-21 North West 76
## 1361 2020-04-22 North West 86
## 1362 2020-04-23 North West 85
## 1363 2020-04-24 North West 66
## 1364 2020-04-25 North West 66
## 1365 2020-04-26 North West 55
## 1366 2020-04-27 North West 54
## 1367 2020-04-28 North West 57
## 1368 2020-04-29 North West 63
## 1369 2020-04-30 North West 60
## 1370 2020-05-01 North West 45
## 1371 2020-05-02 North West 56
## 1372 2020-05-03 North West 55
## 1373 2020-05-04 North West 48
## 1374 2020-05-05 North West 48
## 1375 2020-05-06 North West 44
## 1376 2020-05-07 North West 49
## 1377 2020-05-08 North West 42
## 1378 2020-05-09 North West 31
## 1379 2020-05-10 North West 42
## 1380 2020-05-11 North West 35
## 1381 2020-05-12 North West 38
## 1382 2020-05-13 North West 25
## 1383 2020-05-14 North West 26
## 1384 2020-05-15 North West 33
## 1385 2020-05-16 North West 32
## 1386 2020-05-17 North West 24
## 1387 2020-05-18 North West 31
## 1388 2020-05-19 North West 35
## 1389 2020-05-20 North West 27
## 1390 2020-05-21 North West 28
## 1391 2020-05-22 North West 26
## 1392 2020-05-23 North West 31
## 1393 2020-05-24 North West 26
## 1394 2020-05-25 North West 31
## 1395 2020-05-26 North West 27
## 1396 2020-05-27 North West 27
## 1397 2020-05-28 North West 28
## 1398 2020-05-29 North West 20
## 1399 2020-05-30 North West 19
## 1400 2020-05-31 North West 13
## 1401 2020-06-01 North West 12
## 1402 2020-06-02 North West 27
## 1403 2020-06-03 North West 22
## 1404 2020-06-04 North West 22
## 1405 2020-06-05 North West 16
## 1406 2020-06-06 North West 26
## 1407 2020-06-07 North West 20
## 1408 2020-06-08 North West 23
## 1409 2020-06-09 North West 17
## 1410 2020-06-10 North West 16
## 1411 2020-06-11 North West 16
## 1412 2020-06-12 North West 11
## 1413 2020-06-13 North West 10
## 1414 2020-06-14 North West 15
## 1415 2020-06-15 North West 16
## 1416 2020-06-16 North West 16
## 1417 2020-06-17 North West 13
## 1418 2020-06-18 North West 14
## 1419 2020-06-19 North West 7
## 1420 2020-06-20 North West 11
## 1421 2020-06-21 North West 8
## 1422 2020-06-22 North West 11
## 1423 2020-06-23 North West 13
## 1424 2020-06-24 North West 13
## 1425 2020-06-25 North West 15
## 1426 2020-06-26 North West 6
## 1427 2020-06-27 North West 7
## 1428 2020-06-28 North West 9
## 1429 2020-06-29 North West 9
## 1430 2020-06-30 North West 7
## 1431 2020-07-01 North West 3
## 1432 2020-07-02 North West 6
## 1433 2020-07-03 North West 7
## 1434 2020-07-04 North West 4
## 1435 2020-07-05 North West 6
## 1436 2020-07-06 North West 9
## 1437 2020-07-07 North West 8
## 1438 2020-07-08 North West 5
## 1439 2020-07-09 North West 10
## 1440 2020-07-10 North West 2
## 1441 2020-07-11 North West 5
## 1442 2020-07-12 North West 0
## 1443 2020-07-13 North West 6
## 1444 2020-07-14 North West 4
## 1445 2020-07-15 North West 5
## 1446 2020-07-16 North West 2
## 1447 2020-07-17 North West 4
## 1448 2020-07-18 North West 5
## 1449 2020-07-19 North West 3
## 1450 2020-07-20 North West 0
## 1451 2020-07-21 North West 2
## 1452 2020-07-22 North West 3
## 1453 2020-07-23 North West 3
## 1454 2020-07-24 North West 1
## 1455 2020-07-25 North West 1
## 1456 2020-07-26 North West 3
## 1457 2020-07-27 North West 1
## 1458 2020-07-28 North West 1
## 1459 2020-07-29 North West 2
## 1460 2020-07-30 North West 2
## 1461 2020-07-31 North West 0
## 1462 2020-08-01 North West 2
## 1463 2020-08-02 North West 1
## 1464 2020-08-03 North West 8
## 1465 2020-08-04 North West 3
## 1466 2020-08-05 North West 2
## 1467 2020-08-06 North West 2
## 1468 2020-08-07 North West 2
## 1469 2020-08-08 North West 2
## 1470 2020-08-09 North West 3
## 1471 2020-08-10 North West 2
## 1472 2020-08-11 North West 3
## 1473 2020-08-12 North West 0
## 1474 2020-08-13 North West 2
## 1475 2020-08-14 North West 2
## 1476 2020-08-15 North West 6
## 1477 2020-08-16 North West 2
## 1478 2020-08-17 North West 1
## 1479 2020-08-18 North West 2
## 1480 2020-08-19 North West 1
## 1481 2020-08-20 North West 1
## 1482 2020-08-21 North West 4
## 1483 2020-08-22 North West 3
## 1484 2020-08-23 North West 5
## 1485 2020-08-24 North West 4
## 1486 2020-08-25 North West 3
## 1487 2020-08-26 North West 4
## 1488 2020-08-27 North West 1
## 1489 2020-08-28 North West 2
## 1490 2020-08-29 North West 0
## 1491 2020-08-30 North West 2
## 1492 2020-08-31 North West 3
## 1493 2020-09-01 North West 0
## 1494 2020-09-02 North West 2
## 1495 2020-09-03 North West 1
## 1496 2020-09-04 North West 3
## 1497 2020-09-05 North West 6
## 1498 2020-09-06 North West 1
## 1499 2020-09-07 North West 8
## 1500 2020-09-08 North West 6
## 1501 2020-09-09 North West 5
## 1502 2020-09-10 North West 5
## 1503 2020-09-11 North West 1
## 1504 2020-09-12 North West 4
## 1505 2020-09-13 North West 2
## 1506 2020-09-14 North West 4
## 1507 2020-09-15 North West 4
## 1508 2020-09-16 North West 6
## 1509 2020-09-17 North West 7
## 1510 2020-09-18 North West 6
## 1511 2020-09-19 North West 3
## 1512 2020-09-20 North West 2
## 1513 2020-09-21 North West 2
## 1514 2020-09-22 North West 9
## 1515 2020-09-23 North West 14
## 1516 2020-09-24 North West 10
## 1517 2020-09-25 North West 8
## 1518 2020-09-26 North West 14
## 1519 2020-09-27 North West 11
## 1520 2020-09-28 North West 15
## 1521 2020-09-29 North West 12
## 1522 2020-09-30 North West 17
## 1523 2020-10-01 North West 17
## 1524 2020-10-02 North West 20
## 1525 2020-10-03 North West 15
## 1526 2020-10-04 North West 15
## 1527 2020-10-05 North West 15
## 1528 2020-10-06 North West 20
## 1529 2020-10-07 North West 20
## 1530 2020-10-08 North West 22
## 1531 2020-10-09 North West 23
## 1532 2020-10-10 North West 31
## 1533 2020-10-11 North West 31
## 1534 2020-10-12 North West 35
## 1535 2020-10-13 North West 26
## 1536 2020-10-14 North West 35
## 1537 2020-10-15 North West 36
## 1538 2020-10-16 North West 34
## 1539 2020-10-17 North West 52
## 1540 2020-10-18 North West 40
## 1541 2020-10-19 North West 43
## 1542 2020-10-20 North West 48
## 1543 2020-10-21 North West 51
## 1544 2020-10-22 North West 49
## 1545 2020-10-23 North West 50
## 1546 2020-10-24 North West 51
## 1547 2020-10-25 North West 63
## 1548 2020-10-26 North West 53
## 1549 2020-10-27 North West 49
## 1550 2020-10-28 North West 57
## 1551 2020-10-29 North West 74
## 1552 2020-10-30 North West 73
## 1553 2020-10-31 North West 63
## 1554 2020-11-01 North West 76
## 1555 2020-11-02 North West 65
## 1556 2020-11-03 North West 76
## 1557 2020-11-04 North West 64
## 1558 2020-11-05 North West 67
## 1559 2020-11-06 North West 75
## 1560 2020-11-07 North West 79
## 1561 2020-11-08 North West 83
## 1562 2020-11-09 North West 82
## 1563 2020-11-10 North West 68
## 1564 2020-11-11 North West 61
## 1565 2020-11-12 North West 64
## 1566 2020-11-13 North West 81
## 1567 2020-11-14 North West 61
## 1568 2020-11-15 North West 75
## 1569 2020-11-16 North West 74
## 1570 2020-11-17 North West 73
## 1571 2020-11-18 North West 70
## 1572 2020-11-19 North West 67
## 1573 2020-11-20 North West 52
## 1574 2020-11-21 North West 68
## 1575 2020-11-22 North West 52
## 1576 2020-11-23 North West 54
## 1577 2020-11-24 North West 64
## 1578 2020-11-25 North West 65
## 1579 2020-11-26 North West 53
## 1580 2020-11-27 North West 51
## 1581 2020-11-28 North West 46
## 1582 2020-11-29 North West 54
## 1583 2020-11-30 North West 48
## 1584 2020-12-01 North West 53
## 1585 2020-12-02 North West 48
## 1586 2020-12-03 North West 46
## 1587 2020-12-04 North West 47
## 1588 2020-12-05 North West 37
## 1589 2020-12-06 North West 43
## 1590 2020-12-07 North West 50
## 1591 2020-12-08 North West 49
## 1592 2020-12-09 North West 48
## 1593 2020-12-10 North West 49
## 1594 2020-12-11 North West 41
## 1595 2020-12-12 North West 48
## 1596 2020-12-13 North West 41
## 1597 2020-12-14 North West 51
## 1598 2020-12-15 North West 34
## 1599 2020-12-16 North West 40
## 1600 2020-12-17 North West 25
## 1601 2020-12-18 North West 47
## 1602 2020-12-19 North West 45
## 1603 2020-12-20 North West 37
## 1604 2020-12-21 North West 51
## 1605 2020-12-22 North West 52
## 1606 2020-12-23 North West 50
## 1607 2020-12-24 North West 58
## 1608 2020-12-25 North West 52
## 1609 2020-12-26 North West 56
## 1610 2020-12-27 North West 50
## 1611 2020-12-28 North West 48
## 1612 2020-12-29 North West 48
## 1613 2020-12-30 North West 49
## 1614 2020-12-31 North West 62
## 1615 2021-01-01 North West 54
## 1616 2021-01-02 North West 54
## 1617 2021-01-03 North West 55
## 1618 2021-01-04 North West 50
## 1619 2021-01-05 North West 54
## 1620 2021-01-06 North West 66
## 1621 2021-01-07 North West 60
## 1622 2021-01-08 North West 63
## 1623 2021-01-09 North West 64
## 1624 2021-01-10 North West 62
## 1625 2021-01-11 North West 76
## 1626 2021-01-12 North West 56
## 1627 2021-01-13 North West 79
## 1628 2021-01-14 North West 83
## 1629 2021-01-15 North West 79
## 1630 2021-01-16 North West 78
## 1631 2021-01-17 North West 77
## 1632 2021-01-18 North West 81
## 1633 2021-01-19 North West 82
## 1634 2021-01-20 North West 61
## 1635 2021-01-21 North West 23
## 1636 2020-03-01 South East 0
## 1637 2020-03-02 South East 0
## 1638 2020-03-03 South East 1
## 1639 2020-03-04 South East 0
## 1640 2020-03-05 South East 1
## 1641 2020-03-06 South East 0
## 1642 2020-03-07 South East 0
## 1643 2020-03-08 South East 1
## 1644 2020-03-09 South East 1
## 1645 2020-03-10 South East 1
## 1646 2020-03-11 South East 1
## 1647 2020-03-12 South East 0
## 1648 2020-03-13 South East 1
## 1649 2020-03-14 South East 1
## 1650 2020-03-15 South East 5
## 1651 2020-03-16 South East 8
## 1652 2020-03-17 South East 7
## 1653 2020-03-18 South East 10
## 1654 2020-03-19 South East 9
## 1655 2020-03-20 South East 13
## 1656 2020-03-21 South East 7
## 1657 2020-03-22 South East 25
## 1658 2020-03-23 South East 20
## 1659 2020-03-24 South East 22
## 1660 2020-03-25 South East 29
## 1661 2020-03-26 South East 35
## 1662 2020-03-27 South East 36
## 1663 2020-03-28 South East 36
## 1664 2020-03-29 South East 55
## 1665 2020-03-30 South East 58
## 1666 2020-03-31 South East 65
## 1667 2020-04-01 South East 66
## 1668 2020-04-02 South East 55
## 1669 2020-04-03 South East 72
## 1670 2020-04-04 South East 80
## 1671 2020-04-05 South East 82
## 1672 2020-04-06 South East 88
## 1673 2020-04-07 South East 100
## 1674 2020-04-08 South East 83
## 1675 2020-04-09 South East 104
## 1676 2020-04-10 South East 88
## 1677 2020-04-11 South East 88
## 1678 2020-04-12 South East 88
## 1679 2020-04-13 South East 84
## 1680 2020-04-14 South East 65
## 1681 2020-04-15 South East 72
## 1682 2020-04-16 South East 56
## 1683 2020-04-17 South East 86
## 1684 2020-04-18 South East 57
## 1685 2020-04-19 South East 70
## 1686 2020-04-20 South East 87
## 1687 2020-04-21 South East 51
## 1688 2020-04-22 South East 54
## 1689 2020-04-23 South East 57
## 1690 2020-04-24 South East 64
## 1691 2020-04-25 South East 51
## 1692 2020-04-26 South East 51
## 1693 2020-04-27 South East 41
## 1694 2020-04-28 South East 40
## 1695 2020-04-29 South East 47
## 1696 2020-04-30 South East 29
## 1697 2020-05-01 South East 37
## 1698 2020-05-02 South East 36
## 1699 2020-05-03 South East 17
## 1700 2020-05-04 South East 35
## 1701 2020-05-05 South East 29
## 1702 2020-05-06 South East 25
## 1703 2020-05-07 South East 27
## 1704 2020-05-08 South East 26
## 1705 2020-05-09 South East 28
## 1706 2020-05-10 South East 19
## 1707 2020-05-11 South East 25
## 1708 2020-05-12 South East 27
## 1709 2020-05-13 South East 18
## 1710 2020-05-14 South East 32
## 1711 2020-05-15 South East 25
## 1712 2020-05-16 South East 22
## 1713 2020-05-17 South East 18
## 1714 2020-05-18 South East 22
## 1715 2020-05-19 South East 12
## 1716 2020-05-20 South East 22
## 1717 2020-05-21 South East 15
## 1718 2020-05-22 South East 17
## 1719 2020-05-23 South East 21
## 1720 2020-05-24 South East 17
## 1721 2020-05-25 South East 13
## 1722 2020-05-26 South East 19
## 1723 2020-05-27 South East 19
## 1724 2020-05-28 South East 12
## 1725 2020-05-29 South East 22
## 1726 2020-05-30 South East 8
## 1727 2020-05-31 South East 12
## 1728 2020-06-01 South East 11
## 1729 2020-06-02 South East 13
## 1730 2020-06-03 South East 18
## 1731 2020-06-04 South East 11
## 1732 2020-06-05 South East 11
## 1733 2020-06-06 South East 10
## 1734 2020-06-07 South East 12
## 1735 2020-06-08 South East 8
## 1736 2020-06-09 South East 10
## 1737 2020-06-10 South East 11
## 1738 2020-06-11 South East 5
## 1739 2020-06-12 South East 6
## 1740 2020-06-13 South East 7
## 1741 2020-06-14 South East 7
## 1742 2020-06-15 South East 8
## 1743 2020-06-16 South East 14
## 1744 2020-06-17 South East 9
## 1745 2020-06-18 South East 4
## 1746 2020-06-19 South East 7
## 1747 2020-06-20 South East 5
## 1748 2020-06-21 South East 3
## 1749 2020-06-22 South East 2
## 1750 2020-06-23 South East 9
## 1751 2020-06-24 South East 7
## 1752 2020-06-25 South East 5
## 1753 2020-06-26 South East 8
## 1754 2020-06-27 South East 9
## 1755 2020-06-28 South East 6
## 1756 2020-06-29 South East 5
## 1757 2020-06-30 South East 5
## 1758 2020-07-01 South East 2
## 1759 2020-07-02 South East 8
## 1760 2020-07-03 South East 3
## 1761 2020-07-04 South East 6
## 1762 2020-07-05 South East 5
## 1763 2020-07-06 South East 4
## 1764 2020-07-07 South East 6
## 1765 2020-07-08 South East 3
## 1766 2020-07-09 South East 7
## 1767 2020-07-10 South East 3
## 1768 2020-07-11 South East 4
## 1769 2020-07-12 South East 5
## 1770 2020-07-13 South East 5
## 1771 2020-07-14 South East 5
## 1772 2020-07-15 South East 6
## 1773 2020-07-16 South East 3
## 1774 2020-07-17 South East 1
## 1775 2020-07-18 South East 5
## 1776 2020-07-19 South East 2
## 1777 2020-07-20 South East 6
## 1778 2020-07-21 South East 4
## 1779 2020-07-22 South East 2
## 1780 2020-07-23 South East 3
## 1781 2020-07-24 South East 1
## 1782 2020-07-25 South East 1
## 1783 2020-07-26 South East 3
## 1784 2020-07-27 South East 1
## 1785 2020-07-28 South East 3
## 1786 2020-07-29 South East 2
## 1787 2020-07-30 South East 3
## 1788 2020-07-31 South East 1
## 1789 2020-08-01 South East 2
## 1790 2020-08-02 South East 4
## 1791 2020-08-03 South East 0
## 1792 2020-08-04 South East 0
## 1793 2020-08-05 South East 0
## 1794 2020-08-06 South East 2
## 1795 2020-08-07 South East 0
## 1796 2020-08-08 South East 2
## 1797 2020-08-09 South East 0
## 1798 2020-08-10 South East 2
## 1799 2020-08-11 South East 1
## 1800 2020-08-12 South East 1
## 1801 2020-08-13 South East 0
## 1802 2020-08-14 South East 0
## 1803 2020-08-15 South East 2
## 1804 2020-08-16 South East 1
## 1805 2020-08-17 South East 0
## 1806 2020-08-18 South East 2
## 1807 2020-08-19 South East 1
## 1808 2020-08-20 South East 0
## 1809 2020-08-21 South East 0
## 1810 2020-08-22 South East 0
## 1811 2020-08-23 South East 1
## 1812 2020-08-24 South East 0
## 1813 2020-08-25 South East 1
## 1814 2020-08-26 South East 0
## 1815 2020-08-27 South East 1
## 1816 2020-08-28 South East 2
## 1817 2020-08-29 South East 1
## 1818 2020-08-30 South East 0
## 1819 2020-08-31 South East 2
## 1820 2020-09-01 South East 1
## 1821 2020-09-02 South East 1
## 1822 2020-09-03 South East 0
## 1823 2020-09-04 South East 1
## 1824 2020-09-05 South East 0
## 1825 2020-09-06 South East 1
## 1826 2020-09-07 South East 0
## 1827 2020-09-08 South East 0
## 1828 2020-09-09 South East 0
## 1829 2020-09-10 South East 1
## 1830 2020-09-11 South East 1
## 1831 2020-09-12 South East 0
## 1832 2020-09-13 South East 3
## 1833 2020-09-14 South East 1
## 1834 2020-09-15 South East 2
## 1835 2020-09-16 South East 2
## 1836 2020-09-17 South East 3
## 1837 2020-09-18 South East 1
## 1838 2020-09-19 South East 1
## 1839 2020-09-20 South East 0
## 1840 2020-09-21 South East 3
## 1841 2020-09-22 South East 0
## 1842 2020-09-23 South East 2
## 1843 2020-09-24 South East 1
## 1844 2020-09-25 South East 3
## 1845 2020-09-26 South East 2
## 1846 2020-09-27 South East 2
## 1847 2020-09-28 South East 6
## 1848 2020-09-29 South East 3
## 1849 2020-09-30 South East 4
## 1850 2020-10-01 South East 4
## 1851 2020-10-02 South East 2
## 1852 2020-10-03 South East 1
## 1853 2020-10-04 South East 1
## 1854 2020-10-05 South East 2
## 1855 2020-10-06 South East 1
## 1856 2020-10-07 South East 4
## 1857 2020-10-08 South East 1
## 1858 2020-10-09 South East 1
## 1859 2020-10-10 South East 3
## 1860 2020-10-11 South East 3
## 1861 2020-10-12 South East 4
## 1862 2020-10-13 South East 2
## 1863 2020-10-14 South East 2
## 1864 2020-10-15 South East 3
## 1865 2020-10-16 South East 2
## 1866 2020-10-17 South East 3
## 1867 2020-10-18 South East 4
## 1868 2020-10-19 South East 7
## 1869 2020-10-20 South East 8
## 1870 2020-10-21 South East 9
## 1871 2020-10-22 South East 5
## 1872 2020-10-23 South East 7
## 1873 2020-10-24 South East 5
## 1874 2020-10-25 South East 9
## 1875 2020-10-26 South East 13
## 1876 2020-10-27 South East 10
## 1877 2020-10-28 South East 10
## 1878 2020-10-29 South East 7
## 1879 2020-10-30 South East 6
## 1880 2020-10-31 South East 15
## 1881 2020-11-01 South East 18
## 1882 2020-11-02 South East 13
## 1883 2020-11-03 South East 16
## 1884 2020-11-04 South East 10
## 1885 2020-11-05 South East 10
## 1886 2020-11-06 South East 16
## 1887 2020-11-07 South East 17
## 1888 2020-11-08 South East 18
## 1889 2020-11-09 South East 19
## 1890 2020-11-10 South East 20
## 1891 2020-11-11 South East 19
## 1892 2020-11-12 South East 20
## 1893 2020-11-13 South East 12
## 1894 2020-11-14 South East 24
## 1895 2020-11-15 South East 25
## 1896 2020-11-16 South East 22
## 1897 2020-11-17 South East 23
## 1898 2020-11-18 South East 26
## 1899 2020-11-19 South East 21
## 1900 2020-11-20 South East 18
## 1901 2020-11-21 South East 23
## 1902 2020-11-22 South East 30
## 1903 2020-11-23 South East 29
## 1904 2020-11-24 South East 26
## 1905 2020-11-25 South East 42
## 1906 2020-11-26 South East 30
## 1907 2020-11-27 South East 31
## 1908 2020-11-28 South East 24
## 1909 2020-11-29 South East 37
## 1910 2020-11-30 South East 23
## 1911 2020-12-01 South East 29
## 1912 2020-12-02 South East 33
## 1913 2020-12-03 South East 36
## 1914 2020-12-04 South East 41
## 1915 2020-12-05 South East 36
## 1916 2020-12-06 South East 32
## 1917 2020-12-07 South East 25
## 1918 2020-12-08 South East 43
## 1919 2020-12-09 South East 44
## 1920 2020-12-10 South East 38
## 1921 2020-12-11 South East 48
## 1922 2020-12-12 South East 40
## 1923 2020-12-13 South East 41
## 1924 2020-12-14 South East 38
## 1925 2020-12-15 South East 50
## 1926 2020-12-16 South East 44
## 1927 2020-12-17 South East 53
## 1928 2020-12-18 South East 48
## 1929 2020-12-19 South East 42
## 1930 2020-12-20 South East 55
## 1931 2020-12-21 South East 65
## 1932 2020-12-22 South East 58
## 1933 2020-12-23 South East 69
## 1934 2020-12-24 South East 54
## 1935 2020-12-25 South East 68
## 1936 2020-12-26 South East 72
## 1937 2020-12-27 South East 74
## 1938 2020-12-28 South East 81
## 1939 2020-12-29 South East 77
## 1940 2020-12-30 South East 87
## 1941 2020-12-31 South East 88
## 1942 2021-01-01 South East 59
## 1943 2021-01-02 South East 92
## 1944 2021-01-03 South East 75
## 1945 2021-01-04 South East 100
## 1946 2021-01-05 South East 103
## 1947 2021-01-06 South East 116
## 1948 2021-01-07 South East 113
## 1949 2021-01-08 South East 123
## 1950 2021-01-09 South East 110
## 1951 2021-01-10 South East 120
## 1952 2021-01-11 South East 128
## 1953 2021-01-12 South East 165
## 1954 2021-01-13 South East 126
## 1955 2021-01-14 South East 133
## 1956 2021-01-15 South East 123
## 1957 2021-01-16 South East 141
## 1958 2021-01-17 South East 147
## 1959 2021-01-18 South East 135
## 1960 2021-01-19 South East 138
## 1961 2021-01-20 South East 81
## 1962 2021-01-21 South East 22
## 1963 2020-03-01 South West 0
## 1964 2020-03-02 South West 0
## 1965 2020-03-03 South West 0
## 1966 2020-03-04 South West 0
## 1967 2020-03-05 South West 0
## 1968 2020-03-06 South West 0
## 1969 2020-03-07 South West 0
## 1970 2020-03-08 South West 0
## 1971 2020-03-09 South West 0
## 1972 2020-03-10 South West 0
## 1973 2020-03-11 South West 1
## 1974 2020-03-12 South West 0
## 1975 2020-03-13 South West 0
## 1976 2020-03-14 South West 1
## 1977 2020-03-15 South West 0
## 1978 2020-03-16 South West 0
## 1979 2020-03-17 South West 2
## 1980 2020-03-18 South West 2
## 1981 2020-03-19 South West 4
## 1982 2020-03-20 South West 3
## 1983 2020-03-21 South West 6
## 1984 2020-03-22 South West 7
## 1985 2020-03-23 South West 8
## 1986 2020-03-24 South West 7
## 1987 2020-03-25 South West 9
## 1988 2020-03-26 South West 11
## 1989 2020-03-27 South West 13
## 1990 2020-03-28 South West 21
## 1991 2020-03-29 South West 18
## 1992 2020-03-30 South West 23
## 1993 2020-03-31 South West 23
## 1994 2020-04-01 South West 21
## 1995 2020-04-02 South West 23
## 1996 2020-04-03 South West 30
## 1997 2020-04-04 South West 42
## 1998 2020-04-05 South West 32
## 1999 2020-04-06 South West 34
## 2000 2020-04-07 South West 39
## 2001 2020-04-08 South West 47
## 2002 2020-04-09 South West 24
## 2003 2020-04-10 South West 46
## 2004 2020-04-11 South West 43
## 2005 2020-04-12 South West 23
## 2006 2020-04-13 South West 27
## 2007 2020-04-14 South West 24
## 2008 2020-04-15 South West 32
## 2009 2020-04-16 South West 29
## 2010 2020-04-17 South West 33
## 2011 2020-04-18 South West 25
## 2012 2020-04-19 South West 31
## 2013 2020-04-20 South West 26
## 2014 2020-04-21 South West 26
## 2015 2020-04-22 South West 23
## 2016 2020-04-23 South West 17
## 2017 2020-04-24 South West 19
## 2018 2020-04-25 South West 15
## 2019 2020-04-26 South West 27
## 2020 2020-04-27 South West 13
## 2021 2020-04-28 South West 17
## 2022 2020-04-29 South West 15
## 2023 2020-04-30 South West 26
## 2024 2020-05-01 South West 6
## 2025 2020-05-02 South West 7
## 2026 2020-05-03 South West 10
## 2027 2020-05-04 South West 17
## 2028 2020-05-05 South West 14
## 2029 2020-05-06 South West 19
## 2030 2020-05-07 South West 16
## 2031 2020-05-08 South West 6
## 2032 2020-05-09 South West 11
## 2033 2020-05-10 South West 5
## 2034 2020-05-11 South West 8
## 2035 2020-05-12 South West 7
## 2036 2020-05-13 South West 7
## 2037 2020-05-14 South West 6
## 2038 2020-05-15 South West 4
## 2039 2020-05-16 South West 4
## 2040 2020-05-17 South West 6
## 2041 2020-05-18 South West 4
## 2042 2020-05-19 South West 6
## 2043 2020-05-20 South West 1
## 2044 2020-05-21 South West 9
## 2045 2020-05-22 South West 7
## 2046 2020-05-23 South West 6
## 2047 2020-05-24 South West 3
## 2048 2020-05-25 South West 8
## 2049 2020-05-26 South West 11
## 2050 2020-05-27 South West 5
## 2051 2020-05-28 South West 10
## 2052 2020-05-29 South West 7
## 2053 2020-05-30 South West 3
## 2054 2020-05-31 South West 2
## 2055 2020-06-01 South West 7
## 2056 2020-06-02 South West 2
## 2057 2020-06-03 South West 7
## 2058 2020-06-04 South West 2
## 2059 2020-06-05 South West 2
## 2060 2020-06-06 South West 1
## 2061 2020-06-07 South West 3
## 2062 2020-06-08 South West 3
## 2063 2020-06-09 South West 0
## 2064 2020-06-10 South West 1
## 2065 2020-06-11 South West 2
## 2066 2020-06-12 South West 2
## 2067 2020-06-13 South West 2
## 2068 2020-06-14 South West 0
## 2069 2020-06-15 South West 2
## 2070 2020-06-16 South West 2
## 2071 2020-06-17 South West 0
## 2072 2020-06-18 South West 0
## 2073 2020-06-19 South West 0
## 2074 2020-06-20 South West 2
## 2075 2020-06-21 South West 0
## 2076 2020-06-22 South West 1
## 2077 2020-06-23 South West 1
## 2078 2020-06-24 South West 1
## 2079 2020-06-25 South West 0
## 2080 2020-06-26 South West 3
## 2081 2020-06-27 South West 0
## 2082 2020-06-28 South West 0
## 2083 2020-06-29 South West 1
## 2084 2020-06-30 South West 0
## 2085 2020-07-01 South West 0
## 2086 2020-07-02 South West 0
## 2087 2020-07-03 South West 0
## 2088 2020-07-04 South West 0
## 2089 2020-07-05 South West 1
## 2090 2020-07-06 South West 0
## 2091 2020-07-07 South West 0
## 2092 2020-07-08 South West 2
## 2093 2020-07-09 South West 0
## 2094 2020-07-10 South West 1
## 2095 2020-07-11 South West 0
## 2096 2020-07-12 South West 0
## 2097 2020-07-13 South West 1
## 2098 2020-07-14 South West 0
## 2099 2020-07-15 South West 0
## 2100 2020-07-16 South West 0
## 2101 2020-07-17 South West 1
## 2102 2020-07-18 South West 0
## 2103 2020-07-19 South West 0
## 2104 2020-07-20 South West 0
## 2105 2020-07-21 South West 0
## 2106 2020-07-22 South West 0
## 2107 2020-07-23 South West 0
## 2108 2020-07-24 South West 0
## 2109 2020-07-25 South West 0
## 2110 2020-07-26 South West 0
## 2111 2020-07-27 South West 0
## 2112 2020-07-28 South West 0
## 2113 2020-07-29 South West 0
## 2114 2020-07-30 South West 1
## 2115 2020-07-31 South West 0
## 2116 2020-08-01 South West 0
## 2117 2020-08-02 South West 0
## 2118 2020-08-03 South West 0
## 2119 2020-08-04 South West 0
## 2120 2020-08-05 South West 0
## 2121 2020-08-06 South West 0
## 2122 2020-08-07 South West 0
## 2123 2020-08-08 South West 0
## 2124 2020-08-09 South West 0
## 2125 2020-08-10 South West 0
## 2126 2020-08-11 South West 0
## 2127 2020-08-12 South West 0
## 2128 2020-08-13 South West 0
## 2129 2020-08-14 South West 1
## 2130 2020-08-15 South West 0
## 2131 2020-08-16 South West 0
## 2132 2020-08-17 South West 2
## 2133 2020-08-18 South West 0
## 2134 2020-08-19 South West 0
## 2135 2020-08-20 South West 0
## 2136 2020-08-21 South West 0
## 2137 2020-08-22 South West 0
## 2138 2020-08-23 South West 0
## 2139 2020-08-24 South West 0
## 2140 2020-08-25 South West 1
## 2141 2020-08-26 South West 0
## 2142 2020-08-27 South West 1
## 2143 2020-08-28 South West 0
## 2144 2020-08-29 South West 0
## 2145 2020-08-30 South West 0
## 2146 2020-08-31 South West 0
## 2147 2020-09-01 South West 0
## 2148 2020-09-02 South West 0
## 2149 2020-09-03 South West 0
## 2150 2020-09-04 South West 0
## 2151 2020-09-05 South West 0
## 2152 2020-09-06 South West 0
## 2153 2020-09-07 South West 0
## 2154 2020-09-08 South West 1
## 2155 2020-09-09 South West 0
## 2156 2020-09-10 South West 0
## 2157 2020-09-11 South West 0
## 2158 2020-09-12 South West 0
## 2159 2020-09-13 South West 1
## 2160 2020-09-14 South West 0
## 2161 2020-09-15 South West 0
## 2162 2020-09-16 South West 0
## 2163 2020-09-17 South West 1
## 2164 2020-09-18 South West 0
## 2165 2020-09-19 South West 0
## 2166 2020-09-20 South West 1
## 2167 2020-09-21 South West 0
## 2168 2020-09-22 South West 0
## 2169 2020-09-23 South West 0
## 2170 2020-09-24 South West 1
## 2171 2020-09-25 South West 0
## 2172 2020-09-26 South West 0
## 2173 2020-09-27 South West 0
## 2174 2020-09-28 South West 0
## 2175 2020-09-29 South West 0
## 2176 2020-09-30 South West 0
## 2177 2020-10-01 South West 0
## 2178 2020-10-02 South West 1
## 2179 2020-10-03 South West 0
## 2180 2020-10-04 South West 0
## 2181 2020-10-05 South West 0
## 2182 2020-10-06 South West 1
## 2183 2020-10-07 South West 0
## 2184 2020-10-08 South West 1
## 2185 2020-10-09 South West 1
## 2186 2020-10-10 South West 0
## 2187 2020-10-11 South West 4
## 2188 2020-10-12 South West 2
## 2189 2020-10-13 South West 0
## 2190 2020-10-14 South West 3
## 2191 2020-10-15 South West 1
## 2192 2020-10-16 South West 2
## 2193 2020-10-17 South West 8
## 2194 2020-10-18 South West 2
## 2195 2020-10-19 South West 2
## 2196 2020-10-20 South West 3
## 2197 2020-10-21 South West 6
## 2198 2020-10-22 South West 6
## 2199 2020-10-23 South West 5
## 2200 2020-10-24 South West 5
## 2201 2020-10-25 South West 5
## 2202 2020-10-26 South West 7
## 2203 2020-10-27 South West 6
## 2204 2020-10-28 South West 8
## 2205 2020-10-29 South West 11
## 2206 2020-10-30 South West 8
## 2207 2020-10-31 South West 4
## 2208 2020-11-01 South West 5
## 2209 2020-11-02 South West 11
## 2210 2020-11-03 South West 7
## 2211 2020-11-04 South West 8
## 2212 2020-11-05 South West 5
## 2213 2020-11-06 South West 11
## 2214 2020-11-07 South West 10
## 2215 2020-11-08 South West 10
## 2216 2020-11-09 South West 12
## 2217 2020-11-10 South West 6
## 2218 2020-11-11 South West 13
## 2219 2020-11-12 South West 17
## 2220 2020-11-13 South West 9
## 2221 2020-11-14 South West 8
## 2222 2020-11-15 South West 16
## 2223 2020-11-16 South West 18
## 2224 2020-11-17 South West 17
## 2225 2020-11-18 South West 26
## 2226 2020-11-19 South West 15
## 2227 2020-11-20 South West 25
## 2228 2020-11-21 South West 25
## 2229 2020-11-22 South West 23
## 2230 2020-11-23 South West 14
## 2231 2020-11-24 South West 20
## 2232 2020-11-25 South West 25
## 2233 2020-11-26 South West 16
## 2234 2020-11-27 South West 21
## 2235 2020-11-28 South West 35
## 2236 2020-11-29 South West 15
## 2237 2020-11-30 South West 21
## 2238 2020-12-01 South West 19
## 2239 2020-12-02 South West 15
## 2240 2020-12-03 South West 14
## 2241 2020-12-04 South West 20
## 2242 2020-12-05 South West 17
## 2243 2020-12-06 South West 13
## 2244 2020-12-07 South West 14
## 2245 2020-12-08 South West 19
## 2246 2020-12-09 South West 21
## 2247 2020-12-10 South West 20
## 2248 2020-12-11 South West 20
## 2249 2020-12-12 South West 15
## 2250 2020-12-13 South West 19
## 2251 2020-12-14 South West 20
## 2252 2020-12-15 South West 19
## 2253 2020-12-16 South West 9
## 2254 2020-12-17 South West 25
## 2255 2020-12-18 South West 10
## 2256 2020-12-19 South West 22
## 2257 2020-12-20 South West 19
## 2258 2020-12-21 South West 21
## 2259 2020-12-22 South West 10
## 2260 2020-12-23 South West 16
## 2261 2020-12-24 South West 18
## 2262 2020-12-25 South West 19
## 2263 2020-12-26 South West 24
## 2264 2020-12-27 South West 24
## 2265 2020-12-28 South West 20
## 2266 2020-12-29 South West 20
## 2267 2020-12-30 South West 14
## 2268 2020-12-31 South West 26
## 2269 2021-01-01 South West 28
## 2270 2021-01-02 South West 22
## 2271 2021-01-03 South West 24
## 2272 2021-01-04 South West 30
## 2273 2021-01-05 South West 30
## 2274 2021-01-06 South West 24
## 2275 2021-01-07 South West 29
## 2276 2021-01-08 South West 33
## 2277 2021-01-09 South West 26
## 2278 2021-01-10 South West 31
## 2279 2021-01-11 South West 35
## 2280 2021-01-12 South West 48
## 2281 2021-01-13 South West 40
## 2282 2021-01-14 South West 32
## 2283 2021-01-15 South West 43
## 2284 2021-01-16 South West 54
## 2285 2021-01-17 South West 30
## 2286 2021-01-18 South West 41
## 2287 2021-01-19 South West 34
## 2288 2021-01-20 South West 38
## 2289 2021-01-21 South West 8We extract the completion date from the NHS Pathways file timestamp:
The completion date of the NHS Pathways data is Thursday 21 Jan 2021.
These are functions which will be used further in the analyses.
Function to estimate the generalised R-squared as the proportion of deviance explained by a given model:
## Function to calculate R2 for Poisson model
## not adjusted for model complexity but all models have the same DF here
Rsq <- function(x) {
1 - (x$deviance / x$null.deviance)
}Function to extract growth rates per region as well as halving times, and the associated 95% confidence intervals:
## function to extract the coefficients, find the level of the intercept,
## reconstruct the values of r, get confidence intervals
get_r <- function(model) {
## extract coefficients and conf int
out <- data.frame(r = coef(model)) %>%
rownames_to_column("var") %>%
cbind(confint(model)) %>%
filter(!grepl("day_of_week", var)) %>%
filter(grepl("day", var)) %>%
rename(lower_95 = "2.5 %",
upper_95 = "97.5 %") %>%
mutate(var = sub("day:", "", var))
## reconstruct values: intercept + region-coefficient
for (i in 2:nrow(out)) {
out[i, -1] <- out[1, -1] + out[i, -1]
}
## find the name of the intercept, restore regions names
out <- out %>%
mutate(nhs_region = model$xlevels$nhs_region) %>%
select(nhs_region, everything(), -var)
## find halving times
halving <- log(0.5) / out[,-1] %>%
rename(halving_t = r,
halving_t_lower_95 = lower_95,
halving_t_upper_95 = upper_95)
## set halving times with exclusion intervals to NA
no_halving <- out$lower_95 < 0 & out$upper_95 > 0
halving[no_halving, ] <- NA_real_
## return all data
cbind(out, halving)
}Functions used in the correlation analysis between NHS Pathways reports and deaths:
## Function to calculate Pearson's correlation between deaths and lagged
## reports. Note that `pearson` can be replaced with `spearman` for rank
## correlation.
getcor <- function(x, ndx) {
return(cor(x$deaths[ndx],
x$note_lag[ndx],
use = "complete.obs",
method = "pearson"))
}
## Catch if sample size throws an error
getcor2 <- possibly(getcor, otherwise = NA)
getboot <- function(x) {
result <- boot::boot.ci(boot::boot(x, getcor2, R = 1000),
type = "bca")
return(data.frame(n = sum(!is.na(x$note_lag) & !is.na(x$deaths)),
r = result$t0,
r_low = result$bca[4],
r_hi = result$bca[5]))
}Function to classify the day of the week into weekend, Monday, and the rest:
## Fn to add day of week
day_of_week <- function(df) {
df %>%
dplyr::mutate(day_of_week = lubridate::wday(date, label = TRUE)) %>%
dplyr::mutate(day_of_week = dplyr::case_when(
day_of_week %in% c("Sat", "Sun") ~ "weekend",
day_of_week %in% c("Mon") ~ "monday",
!(day_of_week %in% c("Sat", "Sun", "Mon")) ~ "rest_of_week"
) %>%
factor(levels = c("rest_of_week", "monday", "weekend")))
}Custom color palettes, color scales, and vectors of colors:
We look for temporal patterns in COVID-19 related 111/999 calls and 111 online reports. Analyses are broken down by NHS region. We also look for estimates of recent growth rate and associated doubling / halving time.
tab_date_region_all <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region)) %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
dth %>%
mutate(trusted = case_when(date_report < max(dth$date_report)-delay_max ~ "Y",
date_report >= max(dth$date_report)-delay_max ~ "N"),
value = "Deaths",
vline = max(dth$date_report)-delay_max-1,
lab = "Truncated for reporting delay",
lab_pos_x = vline + 10,
lab_pos_y = 150,
lab_col = "darkgrey") %>%
rename(date = date_report,
n = deaths) %>%
bind_rows(
mutate(tab_date_region_all, value = "Reports",
trusted = "Y",
vline = as.Date("2020-03-23"),
lab = "Start of UK lockdown",
lab_pos_x = vline - 8,
lab_pos_y = 30200,
lab_col = "black")
) %>%
mutate(value = factor(value, levels = c("Reports","Deaths"))) -> dths_reports
plot_dth_report <-
ggplot(dths_reports, aes(date, n, colour = nhs_region)) +
# Add main points and lines, coloured by region and fade out deaths for excluded period
geom_point(aes(alpha = trusted)) +
geom_line(alpha = 0.2) +
geom_smooth(method = "loess", span = .5, color = "black") +
scale_colour_manual("", values = pal) +
scale_alpha_manual(values = c(0.3,1)) +
guides(alpha = F) +
# Add vertical markers for important dates with labels - different for each facet
ggnewscale::new_scale_colour() +
geom_vline(aes(xintercept = vline, col = value), lty = "solid") +
geom_text(aes(x = lab_pos_x, y = lab_pos_y, label = lab, col = value), size = 3) +
scale_colour_manual("",values = c("black","darkgrey"), guide = F) +
# Facet by deaths and reports
facet_grid(rows = vars(value), scales = "free_y", switch = "y") +
# Other formatting
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",strip.placement = "outside") +
rotate_x +
labs(x = NULL,
y = NULL)
plot_dth_reportWe plot the number of 111/999 calls and 111 online reports by age, and the proportion of 111/999 calls and 111 online reports by age. In the second graph, the vertical lines indicate the proportion of individuals residing in the corresponding NHS region who belong to the corresponding age group.
tab_date_region_age_all <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region),
age != "missing") %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region, age) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
tab_date_region_age_all %>%
ggplot(aes(x = date, y = n, fill = age)) +
geom_col(position = "stack") +
scale_fill_manual(values = age.pal) +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1)) +
guides(fill = guide_legend(title = "Age", ncol = 3)) +
labs(x = NULL,
y = "Total daily reports by age") +
facet_wrap(~ nhs_region, ncol = 4)
tab_date_region_age_all <- tab_date_region_age_all %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(tot = sum(n)) %>%
left_join(tab_date_region_age_all, by = c("date", "nhs_region")) %>%
mutate(prop_n = n/tot)
tab_date_region_age_all %>%
ggplot(aes(x = date, y = prop_n, color = age)) +
scale_color_manual(values = age.pal) +
geom_line() +
geom_point() +
geom_hline(data = nhs_region_pop, aes(yintercept = value, color = variable)) +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1)) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "Age", ncol = 3)) +
labs(x = NULL,
y = "Proportion of daily reports by age") +
facet_wrap(~ nhs_region, ncol = 4)We fit quasi-Poisson GLMs for 14-day windows to get growth rates over time.
## set moving time window (1/2/3 weeks)
w <- 14
# create empty df
r_all_sliding <- NULL
## make data for model
x_model_all_moving <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region)) %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
unique_dates <- unique(x_model_all_moving$date)
for (i in 1:(length(unique_dates) - w)) {
date_i <- unique_dates[i]
date_i_max <- date_i + w
model_data <- x_model_all_moving %>%
filter(date >= date_i & date < date_i_max) %>%
mutate(day = as.integer(date - date_i)) %>%
day_of_week()
mod <- glm(n ~ day * nhs_region + day_of_week,
data = model_data,
family = 'quasipoisson')
# get growth rate
r <- get_r(mod)
r$w_min <- date_i
r$w_max <- date_i_max
# combine all estimates
r_all_sliding <- bind_rows(r_all_sliding, r)
}
#serial interval distribution
SI_param = epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale,
w = 0.5)
#convert growth rates r to R0
r_all_sliding <- r_all_sliding %>%
mutate(R = epitrix::r2R0(r, SI_distribution),
R_lower_95 = epitrix::r2R0(lower_95, SI_distribution),
R_upper_95 = epitrix::r2R0(upper_95, SI_distribution))We examine the evolution of the growth rate by region over time.
# plot
plot_growth <-
r_all_sliding %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = r)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(colour = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated daily growth rate (r)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)From the growth rate, we derive R and examine its value through time.
# plot
plot_R <-
r_all_sliding %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = R)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = R_lower_95, ymax = R_upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 1, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)
R <- r_all_sliding %>%
mutate(lower_95 = R_lower_95,
upper_95 = R_upper_95,
value = R,
measure = "R",
reference = 1)
r_R <- r_all_sliding %>%
mutate(measure = "r",
value = r,
reference = 0) %>%
bind_rows(R)
r_R %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = value)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(aes(yintercept = reference), linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
rotate_x +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0,0, "cm"),
strip.background = element_blank(),
# strip.text.x = element_blank(),
strip.placement = "outside"
) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "",
override.aes = list(fill = NA)),
fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "", y = "") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal) +
facet_grid(rows = vars(measure),
scales = "free_y",
switch = "y",
labeller = as_labeller(c(r = "Daily growth rate (r)",
R = "Effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)")))We repeat the above analysis, where we fit quasi-Poisson GLMs for 14-day windows to get growth rates over time, but apply this to each age group separately (0-18, 19-69, 70-120 years old).
We first run the analysis for 0-18 years old.
## set moving time window (2 weeks)
w <- 14
# create empty df
r_all_sliding_0_18 <- NULL
## make data for model
x_model_all_moving_0_18 <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region),
age == "0-18") %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
unique_dates <- unique(x_model_all_moving_0_18$date)
for (i in 1:(length(unique_dates) - w)) {
date_i <- unique_dates[i]
date_i_max <- date_i + w
model_data <- x_model_all_moving_0_18 %>%
filter(date >= date_i & date < date_i_max) %>%
mutate(day = as.integer(date - date_i)) %>%
day_of_week()
mod <- glm(n ~ day * nhs_region + day_of_week,
data = model_data,
family = 'quasipoisson')
# get growth rate
r <- get_r(mod)
r$w_min <- date_i
r$w_max <- date_i_max
# combine all estimates
r_all_sliding_0_18 <- bind_rows(r_all_sliding_0_18, r)
}
#serial interval distribution
SI_param = epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale, w = 0.5)
#convert growth rates r to R0
r_all_sliding_0_18 <- r_all_sliding_0_18 %>%
mutate(R = epitrix::r2R0(r, SI_distribution),
R_lower_95 = epitrix::r2R0(lower_95, SI_distribution),
R_upper_95 = epitrix::r2R0(upper_95, SI_distribution))# plot
plot_growth <-
r_all_sliding_0_18 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = r)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(colour = guide_legend(title = "",override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated daily growth rate (r)"
) +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)# plot
plot_R <-
r_all_sliding_0_18 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = R)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = R_lower_95, ymax = R_upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 1, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)"
) +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)
R <- r_all_sliding_0_18 %>%
mutate(lower_95 = R_lower_95,
upper_95 = R_upper_95,
value = R,
measure = "R",
reference = 1)
r_R <- r_all_sliding_0_18 %>%
mutate(measure = "r",
value = r,
reference = 0) %>%
bind_rows(R)
fig2_3_0_18 <- r_R %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = value)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(aes(yintercept = reference), linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0,0, "cm"),
strip.background = element_blank(),
strip.placement = "outside"
) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "", y = "") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal) +
facet_grid(rows = vars(measure),
scales = "free_y",
switch = "y",
labeller = as_labeller(c(r = "Daily growth rate (r)",
R = "Effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)")))Then, we run the analysis for 19-69 years old.
## set moving time window (2 weeks)
w <- 14
# create empty df
r_all_sliding_19_69 <- NULL
## make data for model
x_model_all_moving_19_69 <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region),
age == "19-69") %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
unique_dates <- unique(x_model_all_moving_19_69$date)
for (i in 1:(length(unique_dates) - w)) {
date_i <- unique_dates[i]
date_i_max <- date_i + w
model_data <- x_model_all_moving_19_69 %>%
filter(date >= date_i & date < date_i_max) %>%
mutate(day = as.integer(date - date_i)) %>%
day_of_week()
mod <- glm(n ~ day * nhs_region + day_of_week,
data = model_data,
family = 'quasipoisson')
# get growth rate
r <- get_r(mod)
r$w_min <- date_i
r$w_max <- date_i_max
# combine all estimates
r_all_sliding_19_69 <- bind_rows(r_all_sliding_19_69, r)
}
#serial interval distribution
SI_param = epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale, w = 0.5)
#convert growth rates r to R0
r_all_sliding_19_69 <- r_all_sliding_19_69 %>%
mutate(R = epitrix::r2R0(r, SI_distribution),
R_lower_95 = epitrix::r2R0(lower_95, SI_distribution),
R_upper_95 = epitrix::r2R0(upper_95, SI_distribution))# plot
plot_growth <-
r_all_sliding_19_69 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = r)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(colour = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated daily growth rate (r)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)# plot
plot_R <-
r_all_sliding_19_69 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = R)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = R_lower_95, ymax = R_upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 1, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)"
) +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)
R <- r_all_sliding_19_69 %>%
mutate(lower_95 = R_lower_95,
upper_95 = R_upper_95,
value = R,
measure = "R",
reference = 1)
r_R <- r_all_sliding_19_69 %>%
mutate(measure = "r",
value = r,
reference = 0) %>%
bind_rows(R)
fig2_3_19_69 <- r_R %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = value)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(aes(yintercept = reference), linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0,0, "cm"),
strip.background = element_blank(),
strip.placement = "outside"
) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "", y = "") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal) +
facet_grid(rows = vars(measure),
scales = "free_y",
switch = "y",
labeller = as_labeller(c(r = "Daily growth rate (r)",
R = "Effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)")))Finally, we run the analysis for 70-120 years old.
## set moving time window (2 weeks)
w <- 14
# create empty df
r_all_sliding_70_120 <- NULL
## make data for model
x_model_all_moving_70_120 <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region),
age == "70-120") %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
unique_dates <- unique(x_model_all_moving_70_120$date)
for (i in 1:(length(unique_dates) - w)) {
date_i <- unique_dates[i]
date_i_max <- date_i + w
model_data <- x_model_all_moving_70_120 %>%
filter(date >= date_i & date < date_i_max) %>%
mutate(day = as.integer(date - date_i)) %>%
day_of_week()
mod <- glm(n ~ day * nhs_region + day_of_week,
data = model_data,
family = 'quasipoisson')
# get growth rate
r <- get_r(mod)
r$w_min <- date_i
r$w_max <- date_i_max
# combine all estimates
r_all_sliding_70_120 <- bind_rows(r_all_sliding_70_120, r)
}
#serial interval distribution
SI_param = epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale, w = 0.5)
#convert growth rates r to R0
r_all_sliding_70_120 <- r_all_sliding_70_120 %>%
mutate(R = epitrix::r2R0(r, SI_distribution),
R_lower_95 = epitrix::r2R0(lower_95, SI_distribution),
R_upper_95 = epitrix::r2R0(upper_95, SI_distribution))# plot
plot_growth <-
r_all_sliding_70_120 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = r)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(colour = guide_legend(title = "",override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated daily growth rate (r)"
) +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)# plot
plot_R <-
r_all_sliding_70_120 %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = R)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = R_lower_95, ymax = R_upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 1, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)
R <- r_all_sliding_70_120 %>%
mutate(lower_95 = R_lower_95,
upper_95 = R_upper_95,
value = R,
measure = "R",
reference = 1)
r_R <- r_all_sliding_70_120 %>%
mutate(measure = "r",
value = r,
reference = 0) %>%
bind_rows(R)
fig2_3_70_120 <- r_R %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = value)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(aes(yintercept = reference), linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0,0, "cm"),
strip.background = element_blank(),
strip.placement = "outside"
) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "", y = "") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal) +
facet_grid(rows = vars(measure),
scales = "free_y",
switch = "y",
labeller = as_labeller(c(r = "Daily growth rate (r)",
R = "Effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)"))) We combine the estimated growth rates and effective reproduction numbers into a single figure.
ggpubr::ggarrange(fig2_3_0_18,
fig2_3_19_69,
fig2_3_70_120,
nrow = 3,
labels = "AUTO",
common.legend = TRUE,
legend = "bottom",
align = "hv") We want to explore the correlation between NHS Pathways reports and deaths, and assess the potential for reports to be used as an early warning system for disease resurgence.
Death data are publically available. We truncate the time series to avoid bias from reporting delay - we assume a conservative delay of three weeks.
We calculate Pearson’s correlation coefficient between deaths and NHS Pathways notifications using different lags. Confidence intervals are obtained using bootstrap. Note that results were also confirmed using Spearman’s rank correlation.
First we join the NHS Pathways and death data, and aggregate over all England:
## truncate death data for reporting delay
trunc_date <- max(dth$date_report) - delay_max
dth_trunc <- dth %>%
rename(date = date_report) %>%
filter(date <= trunc_date)
## join with notification data
all_data <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region)) %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(count = sum(count, na.rm = T)) %>%
ungroup %>%
inner_join(dth_trunc,
by = c("date","nhs_region"))
all_tot <- all_data %>%
group_by(date) %>%
summarise(count = sum(count, na.rm = TRUE),
deaths = sum(deaths, na.rm = TRUE)) We calculate correlation with lagged NHS Pathways reports from 0 to 30 days behind deaths:
## Calculate all correlations + bootstrap CIs
lag_cor <- data.frame()
for (i in 0:30) {
## lag reports
summary <- all_tot %>%
mutate(note_lag = lag(count, i)) %>%
## calculate rank correlation and bootstrap CI
getboot(.) %>%
mutate(lag = i)
lag_cor <- bind_rows(lag_cor, summary)
}
cor_vs_lag <- ggplot(lag_cor, aes(lag, r)) +
theme_bw() +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = r_low, ymax = r_hi), alpha = 0.2) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, lty = "longdash") +
geom_point() +
geom_line() +
labs(x = "Lag between NHS pathways and death data (days)",
y = "Pearson's correlation") +
large_txt
cor_vs_lagThis analysis suggests that the best lag is 16 days. We then compare and plot the number of deaths reported against the number of NHS Pathways reports lagged by 16 days.
all_tot <- all_tot %>%
rename(date_death = date) %>%
mutate(note_lag = lag(count, lag_cor$lag[l_opt]),
note_lag_c = (note_lag - mean(note_lag, na.rm = T)),
date_note = lag(date_death,16))
lag_mod <- glm(deaths ~ note_lag, data = all_tot, family = "quasipoisson")
summary(lag_mod)
##
## Call:
## glm(formula = deaths ~ note_lag, family = "quasipoisson", data = all_tot)
##
## Deviance Residuals:
## Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
## -14.842 -12.350 -4.742 8.146 24.678
##
## Coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 4.729e+00 6.443e-02 73.40 <2e-16 ***
## note_lag 1.518e-05 9.622e-07 15.78 <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## (Dispersion parameter for quasipoisson family taken to be 117.5311)
##
## Null deviance: 53767 on 272 degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 32867 on 271 degrees of freedom
## (16 observations deleted due to missingness)
## AIC: NA
##
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 5
exp(coefficients(lag_mod))
## (Intercept) note_lag
## 113.228185 1.000015
exp(confint(lag_mod))
## 2.5 % 97.5 %
## (Intercept) 99.564953 128.182898
## note_lag 1.000013 1.000017
Rsq(lag_mod)
## [1] 0.388704
mod_fit <- as.data.frame(predict(lag_mod, type = "link", se.fit = TRUE)[1:2])
all_tot_pred <-
all_tot %>%
filter(!is.na(note_lag)) %>%
mutate(pred = mod_fit$fit,
pred.se = mod_fit$se.fit,
low = exp(pred - 1.96*pred.se),
hi = exp(pred + 1.96*pred.se))
glm_fit <- all_tot_pred %>%
filter(!is.na(note_lag)) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = note_lag, y = deaths)) +
geom_point() +
geom_line(aes(y = exp(pred))) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = low, ymax = hi), alpha = 0.3, col = "grey") +
theme_bw() +
labs(y = "Daily number of\ndeaths reported",
x = "Daily number of NHS Pathways reports") +
large_txt
glm_fitThis is a comparison of gamma versus lognormal distribution for the serial interval used to convert r to R in our analysis. Both distributions are parameterised with mean 4.7 and standard deviation 2.9.
SI_param <- epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale, w = 0.5)
SI_distribution2 <- distcrete::distcrete("lnorm", interval = 1,
meanlog = log(4.7),
sdlog = log(2.9), w = 0.5)
SI_dist1 <- data.frame(x = SI_distribution$r(1e5))
SI_dist1 <- count(SI_dist1, x) %>%
ggplot() +
geom_col(aes(x = x, y = n)) +
labs(x = "Serial interval (days)", y = "Frequency") +
scale_x_continuous(breaks = seq(0, 30, 5)) +
theme_bw()
SI_dist2 <- data.frame(x = SI_distribution2$r(1e5))
SI_dist2 <- count(SI_dist2, x) %>%
ggplot() +
geom_col(aes(x = x, y = n)) +
labs(x = "Serial interval (days)", y = "Frequency") +
scale_x_continuous(breaks = seq(0, 200, 20), limits = c(0, 200)) +
theme_bw()
ggpubr::ggarrange(SI_dist1,
SI_dist2,
nrow = 1,
labels = "AUTO") We reproduce the window analysis with either a 7 or 21 days window for sensitivity purposes.
First with the 7 days window:
## set moving time window (1/2/3 weeks)
w <- 7
# create empty df
r_all_sliding_7days <- NULL
## make data for model
x_model_all_moving <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region)) %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
unique_dates <- unique(x_model_all_moving$date)
for (i in 1:(length(unique_dates) - w)) {
date_i <- unique_dates[i]
date_i_max <- date_i + w
model_data <- x_model_all_moving %>%
filter(date >= date_i & date < date_i_max) %>%
mutate(day = as.integer(date - date_i)) %>%
day_of_week()
mod <- glm(n ~ day * nhs_region + day_of_week,
data = model_data,
family = 'quasipoisson')
# get growth rate
r <- get_r(mod)
r$w_min <- date_i
r$w_max <- date_i_max
# combine all estimates
r_all_sliding_7days <- bind_rows(r_all_sliding_7days, r)
}
#serial interval distribution
SI_param = epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale,
w = 0.5)
#convert growth rates r to R0
r_all_sliding_7days <- r_all_sliding_7days %>%
mutate(R = epitrix::r2R0(r, SI_distribution),
R_lower_95 = epitrix::r2R0(lower_95, SI_distribution),
R_upper_95 = epitrix::r2R0(upper_95, SI_distribution))# plot
plot_growth <-
r_all_sliding_7days %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = r)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(colour = guide_legend(title = "",override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated daily growth rate (r)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)plot_R <- r_all_sliding_7days %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = R)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = R_lower_95, ymax = R_upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 1, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)
R <- r_all_sliding_7days %>%
mutate(lower_95 = R_lower_95,
upper_95 = R_upper_95,
value = R,
measure = "R",
reference = 1)
r_R <- r_all_sliding_7days %>%
mutate(measure = "r",
value = r,
reference = 0) %>%
bind_rows(R)
r_R_7 <- r_R %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = value)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(aes(yintercept = reference), linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0,0, "cm"),
strip.background = element_blank(),
strip.placement = "outside"
) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "", y = "") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal) +
facet_grid(rows = vars(measure),
scales = "free_y",
switch = "y",
labeller = as_labeller(c(r = "Daily growth rate (r)",
R = "Effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)")))Then with the 21 days window:
## set moving time window (1/2/3 weeks)
w <- 21
# create empty df
r_all_sliding_21days <- NULL
## make data for model
x_model_all_moving <- x %>%
filter(!is.na(nhs_region)) %>%
group_by(date, nhs_region) %>%
summarise(n = sum(count))
unique_dates <- unique(x_model_all_moving$date)
for (i in 1:(length(unique_dates) - w)) {
date_i <- unique_dates[i]
date_i_max <- date_i + w
model_data <- x_model_all_moving %>%
filter(date >= date_i & date < date_i_max) %>%
mutate(day = as.integer(date - date_i)) %>%
day_of_week()
mod <- glm(n ~ day * nhs_region + day_of_week,
data = model_data,
family = 'quasipoisson')
# get growth rate
r <- get_r(mod)
r$w_min <- date_i
r$w_max <- date_i_max
# combine all estimates
r_all_sliding_21days <- bind_rows(r_all_sliding_21days, r)
}
#serial interval distribution
SI_param = epitrix::gamma_mucv2shapescale(4.7, 2.9/4.7)
SI_distribution <- distcrete::distcrete("gamma", interval = 1,
shape = SI_param$shape,
scale = SI_param$scale,
w = 0.5)
#convert growth rates r to R0
r_all_sliding_21days <- r_all_sliding_21days %>%
mutate(R = epitrix::r2R0(r, SI_distribution),
R_lower_95 = epitrix::r2R0(lower_95, SI_distribution),
R_upper_95 = epitrix::r2R0(upper_95, SI_distribution))# plot
plot_growth <-
r_all_sliding_21days %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = r)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(colour = guide_legend(title = "",override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated daily growth rate (r)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)# plot
plot_R <-
r_all_sliding_21days %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = R)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = R_lower_95, ymax = R_upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 1, linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0.5,0.5, "cm")) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "",
y = "Estimated effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal)
R <- r_all_sliding_21days %>%
mutate(lower_95 = R_lower_95,
upper_95 = R_upper_95,
value = R,
measure = "R",
reference = 1)
r_R <- r_all_sliding_21days %>%
mutate(measure = "r",
value = r,
reference = 0) %>%
bind_rows(R)
r_R_21 <- r_R %>%
ggplot(aes(x = w_max, y = value)) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = lower_95, ymax = upper_95, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.1) +
geom_line(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_point(aes(colour = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(aes(yintercept = reference), linetype = "dashed") +
theme_bw() +
scale_weeks +
theme(legend.position = "bottom",
plot.margin = margin(0.5,1,0,0, "cm"),
strip.background = element_blank(),
strip.placement = "outside"
) +
guides(color = guide_legend(title = "", override.aes = list(fill = NA)), fill = FALSE) +
labs(x = "", y = "") +
scale_colour_manual(values = pal) +
facet_grid(rows = vars(measure),
scales = "free_y",
switch = "y",
labeller = as_labeller(c(r = "Daily growth rate (r)",
R = "Effective reproduction\nnumber (Re)")))And we combine both outputs into a single plot:
ggpubr::ggarrange(r_R_7,
r_R_21,
nrow = 2,
labels = "AUTO",
common.legend = TRUE,
legend = "bottom")
lag_cor_reg <- data.frame()
for (i in 0:30) {
summary <-
all_data %>%
group_by(nhs_region) %>%
mutate(note_lag = lag(count, i)) %>%
## calculate rank correlation and bootstrap CI for each region
group_modify(~getboot(.x)) %>%
mutate(lag = i)
lag_cor_reg <- bind_rows(lag_cor_reg, summary)
}
cor_vs_lag_reg <-
lag_cor_reg %>%
ggplot(aes(lag, r, col = nhs_region)) +
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, lty = "longdash") +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = r_low, ymax = r_hi, col = NULL, fill = nhs_region), alpha = 0.2) +
geom_point() +
geom_line() +
facet_wrap(~nhs_region) +
scale_color_manual(values = pal) +
scale_fill_manual(values = pal, guide = F) +
theme_bw() +
labs(x = "Lag between NHS pathways and death data (days)", y = "Pearson's correlation", col = "NHS region") +
theme(legend.position = "bottom") +
guides(color = guide_legend(override.aes = list(fill = NA)))
cor_vs_lag_regWe save the tables created during our analysis:
if (!dir.exists("excel_tables")) {
dir.create("excel_tables")
}
## list all tables, and loop over export
tables_to_export <- c("r_all_sliding", "lag_cor")
for (e in tables_to_export) {
rio::export(get(e),
file.path("excel_tables",
paste0(e, ".xlsx")))
}
## also export result from regression on lagged data
rio::export(lag_mod, file.path("excel_tables", "lag_mod.rds"))The following information documents the system on which the document was compiled.
This provides information on the operating system.
Sys.info()
## sysname
## "Darwin"
## release
## "19.6.0"
## version
## "Darwin Kernel Version 19.6.0: Thu Oct 29 22:56:45 PDT 2020; root:xnu-6153.141.2.2~1/RELEASE_X86_64"
## nodename
## "Mac-1611398302705.local"
## machine
## "x86_64"
## login
## "root"
## user
## "runner"
## effective_user
## "runner"This provides information on the version of R used:
This provides information on the packages used:
sessionInfo()
## R version 4.0.3 (2020-10-10)
## Platform: x86_64-apple-darwin17.0 (64-bit)
## Running under: macOS Catalina 10.15.7
##
## Matrix products: default
## BLAS: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.0/Resources/lib/libRblas.dylib
## LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.0/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib
##
## locale:
## [1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8
##
## attached base packages:
## [1] stats graphics grDevices utils datasets methods base
##
## other attached packages:
## [1] ggnewscale_0.4.5 ggpubr_0.4.0 lubridate_1.7.9.2
## [4] chngpt_2020.10-12 cyphr_1.1.0 DT_0.17
## [7] kableExtra_1.3.1 janitor_2.1.0 remotes_2.2.0
## [10] projections_0.5.2 earlyR_0.0.5 epitrix_0.2.2
## [13] distcrete_1.0.3 incidence_1.7.3 rio_0.5.16
## [16] reshape2_1.4.4 rvest_0.3.6 xml2_1.3.2
## [19] linelist_0.0.40.9000 forcats_0.5.0 stringr_1.4.0
## [22] dplyr_1.0.3 purrr_0.3.4 readr_1.4.0
## [25] tidyr_1.1.2 tibble_3.0.5 ggplot2_3.3.3
## [28] tidyverse_1.3.0 here_1.0.1 reportfactory_0.0.5
##
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
## [1] minqa_1.2.4 colorspace_2.0-0 selectr_0.4-2 ggsignif_0.6.0
## [5] ellipsis_0.3.1 rprojroot_2.0.2 snakecase_0.11.0 fs_1.5.0
## [9] rstudioapi_0.13 farver_2.0.3 fansi_0.4.2 splines_4.0.3
## [13] knitr_1.30 jsonlite_1.7.2 nloptr_1.2.2.2 broom_0.7.3
## [17] dbplyr_2.0.0 compiler_4.0.3 httr_1.4.2 backports_1.2.1
## [21] assertthat_0.2.1 Matrix_1.2-18 cli_2.2.0 htmltools_0.5.1.1
## [25] tools_4.0.3 gtable_0.3.0 glue_1.4.2 Rcpp_1.0.6
## [29] carData_3.0-4 cellranger_1.1.0 vctrs_0.3.6 nlme_3.1-149
## [33] matchmaker_0.1.1 crosstalk_1.1.1 xfun_0.20 ps_1.5.0
## [37] openxlsx_4.2.3 lme4_1.1-26 lifecycle_0.2.0 statmod_1.4.35
## [41] rstatix_0.6.0 MASS_7.3-53 scales_1.1.1 hms_1.0.0
## [45] parallel_4.0.3 sodium_1.1 yaml_2.2.1 curl_4.3
## [49] gridExtra_2.3 stringi_1.5.3 kyotil_2020.10-12 boot_1.3-25
## [53] zip_2.1.1 rlang_0.4.10 pkgconfig_2.0.3 evaluate_0.14
## [57] lattice_0.20-41 labeling_0.4.2 htmlwidgets_1.5.3 cowplot_1.1.1
## [61] tidyselect_1.1.0 plyr_1.8.6 magrittr_2.0.1 R6_2.5.0
## [65] generics_0.1.0 DBI_1.1.1 pillar_1.4.7 haven_2.3.1
## [69] foreign_0.8-80 withr_2.4.0 mgcv_1.8-33 survival_3.2-7
## [73] abind_1.4-5 modelr_0.1.8 crayon_1.3.4 car_3.0-10
## [77] utf8_1.1.4 rmarkdown_2.6 viridis_0.5.1 grid_4.0.3
## [81] readxl_1.3.1 data.table_1.13.6 reprex_0.3.0 digest_0.6.27
## [85] webshot_0.5.2 munsell_0.5.0 viridisLite_0.3.0